Chuba Hubbard (CAR) Over 1.5 Receptions (-135)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical data suggests a strong rationale for betting on Chuba Hubbard to go over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions' market for the Carolina Panthers vs. Los Angeles Rams game. Hubbard's overall hit rate is impressive, with 38 successful outcomes in 59 attempts, which equates to a hit rate of 64.4%. Additionally, his performance at home is noteworthy, with a hit rate of 63.3% (19 out of 30). While his hit rates against the Rams are less successful, the sample size is small (only one game), so it is not as significant in this analysis. Hubbard is also on a positive trend, with two consecutive successful outcomes in his recent games, demonstrating his current good form. Considering these factors, the model's edge of 18.4% further reinforces the likelihood of Hubbard having more than 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game. This data-driven analysis, therefore, supports the proposed bet.
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to go over 2.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions' market is a high-risk bet based on historical data. Tremble's hit rate for exceeding 2.5 receptions is not promising, both overall (12/52) and at home games (6/27). His recent performance doesn't inspire much confidence either. Over his last 20 games, he has only surpassed this benchmark 6 times overall and 5 times at home. In his last 10 games, he's only achieved this twice overall and thrice at home. His recent form, with a hit rate of 1/5 in his last 5 games and 1/3 in his last 3 games, suggests that he is unlikely to surpass this threshold. His current hit streak is only at 1, with no current streak at home. Considering these factors, the statistical evidence suggests a low probability of Tremble achieving over 2.5 receptions in the upcoming
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market could be considered risky based on his recent performance. Tremble's overall hit rate in the last 3 games is 1/3, and he has not hit this mark in any of his last 3 home games. Over the last 5 games, his hit rate improves slightly to 2/5 overall and 1/5 at home. However, his longer-term statistics show a more promising trend. Over the last 20 games, Tremble has a 50% overall hit rate and a slightly better 65% hit rate at home, which suggests he performs better in home games. Although his current hit streak is only 1 game, he has shown the ability to consistently reach this mark, hitting it in half of his overall games played. Thus, it's a gamble, but the historical data suggests it's possible.
Parker Washington (JAX) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for the Over 39.5 player reception yards for Parker Washington in the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game is not statistically favorable. Analyzing his recent performance and trends, Washington has a poor record. His overall hit rate for the last 20 games stands at 2/20, with a current hit streak of zero. More specifically, his hit rate against Buffalo is 0/1, indicating he failed to achieve this target in the previous game against this team. Moreover, he has failed to hit the over 39.5 yards mark in his last five games, both overall and at home. His home hit rate is also discouraging with 4 successful outcomes out of 15 attempts. Therefore, betting on Washington to exceed 39.5 reception yards seems statistically risky given his recent form and historical performance.
Parker Washington (JAX) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate (-204)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting data for Parker Washington does not support a bet on him to achieve Over 39.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market. His recent performance and trends indicate a low likelihood of him surpassing this number. Looking at the hit rates, Washington has not achieved this outcome in his last 5 games overall, his last 5 home games, or his last game against Buffalo. His overall hit rate is less than 20% (6/33), suggesting that he rarely surpasses 39.5 reception yards. His current hit streak is 0, meaning he didn't achieve this outcome in his last game. Even his hit rate at home, which is slightly better, is still under 30% (4/15). Therefore, statistically speaking, betting on Parker Washington to achieve Over 39.5 reception yards doesn't seem to be a wise choice based on his past performance and current trends.
Chuba Hubbard (CAR) Over 1.5 Receptions (-139)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The over 1.5 receptions bet for Chuba Hubbard seems a statistically sound choice based on his recent performance and overall reception trends. Hubbard has a solid overall hit rate of 38/59, and his home hit rate stands at 19/30, indicating that he performs well in front of a home crowd. Furthermore, his overall hit rate for the last 20 games is 12/20, with his home hit rate at a strong 14/20. This suggests that Hubbard is more than capable of achieving over 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game. His recent performance also supports this bet. He has an overall hit rate of 2/3 and a home hit rate of 2/3 in his last three games. His overall hit rate in his last five games is 3/5, while his current overall hit streak is 2 games. Despite not having a positive hit rate against the LA Rams, these figures indicate a high likelihood of Hubbard achieving over
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