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Best NFL Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 01/11 (7-Leg)

January 10th | 05:13 PM GMT Read time icon 6 min read
Best NFL Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 01/11 (7-Leg)
Parlay Opportunities

Expert breakdown for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills. Includes a 7-leg player prop parlay. Discover NFL parlay picks, player prop parlay, best NFL parlay today.

Brenton Strange (JAX) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Brenton Strange for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market against the Buffalo Bills is statistically sound, given his recent performance and trends. Strange has a strong overall hit rate with 21 out of 31 (67.7%) successful bets. His recent form is even more impressive, with 3 consecutive successful bets and 4 out of the last 5 (80%) hitting the mark. His performance at home is also commendable, with a hit rate of 11 out of 17 (64.7%). Against Buffalo Bills, Brenton has a 50% hit rate which might seem average, but considering his current overall streak, it suggests a positive trend. The model edge of 0.10685405948361 also indicates a potential advantage in this bet. Therefore, betting on Brenton Strange to have more than 1.5 receptions in this game is a statistically informed choice.

Parker Washington (JAX) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data supports a bet on Parker Washington for Over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game. Washington's recent performance indicates a strong trend in this direction. He has an overall hit rate of 26/33, and his overall current hit streak is at 4. The statistics are even more favorable when considering home game performances. He has a 100% hit rate in the last 3 and 5 home games, and a hit streak of 11. His overall home hit rate is 13/15, showing his consistency in home games. Moreover, in his last encounter against Buffalo Bills, he hit the target, which indicates that he can perform well against this specific opposition. Therefore, considering Washington's consistent performance and current form, it makes statistical sense to bet Over 1.5 on Parker Washington's receptions.

Parker Washington (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Parker Washington to go Over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market seems like a risky choice given his recent performance and trends. His overall hit rate currently stands at 12/33, which does not suggest a strong likelihood of success. The data shows a current hit streak of zero, both overall and at home, indicating a recent drop in performance. Also, his recent performance at home is not inspiring, with zero successful hits in the last three and five games. However, it's essential to note that in his previous encounters with the Buffalo Bills, he has always managed to go over the mark, boasting a 100% hit rate. This suggests that he may perform well in this specific matchup. Nevertheless, considering the overall statistics, the bet carries considerable risk.

Jalen Coker (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Jalen Coker to have Over 1.5 receptions in the game between the Carolina Panthers and Los Angeles Rams. Coker's recent performance shows a consistent pattern of hitting this mark, with an overall hit rate of 18 out of 22 games, and a current hit streak of 8 games. Furthermore, his last 5 games have seen a 100% hit rate, showing a strong recent trend. When playing at home, his performance is even more impressive, with a hit streak of 10 games and a hit rate of 10 out of 11 games overall. The model edge of 0.125085890068383 also suggests a statistical advantage in favor of this bet. Therefore, given these data points, betting on Jalen Coker to have more than 1.5 receptions seems to be a statistically sound choice.

Brenton Strange (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data for Brenton Strange doesn't offer a strong argument for betting on him to achieve over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market. His overall hit rate against all teams is only 32% (10/31) and when at home, this only increases slightly to 35% (6/17). Even more concerning, Strange has failed to hit this mark in his last 3 games, both overall and at home. His performance against the Buffalo Bills is particularly unimpressive, with a hit rate of 0% in both his last 2 and last 5 games against them. The model's edge of 0.142 is minimal and doesn't provide much confidence either. Based on this data, it seems statistically unlikely that Strange will surpass 14.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Bills.

Caleb Williams (CHI) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Caleb Williams to pass for over 149.5 yards in the game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers requires a careful analysis of his recent performance and trends. Williams has not been hitting this mark consistently in recent games, as evidenced by his overall hit rates. His overall hit rate in his last 20 games is 0/20, and his hit rate in the last 10 games is also 0/10. His performance at home is not encouraging either, with no successful hit in the last 10 games. However, his performance against the Green Bay Packers, especially at home, provides a glimmer of hope. He has achieved this target in 50% of his last games against the Packers and has hit the mark in his most recent home game against them. However, considering his overall form, this bet carries considerable risk.

Bryce Young (CAR) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryce Young to pass for over 149.5 yards in the Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game seems a risky proposition given the recent statistics. Young's performance in recent games has not been promising, as evidenced by his overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games, which stands at 0/3, 0/5, 0/10, and 0/20 respectively. His home hit rate is slightly better but still not promising, with 1/10 in the last 10 games and 7/20 in the last 20 games. His overall and home current hit streaks are also at zero. These numbers suggest a downward trend in his performance. However, his overall hit rate is 21/50 and home hit rate stands at 11/24, indicating that he has the potential to reach the 149.5 yard mark, but his recent form makes it a risky bet.

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