Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 28.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers head into Orlando, all eyes will be on Donovan Mitchell, but I'm leaning towards him falling short of the 28.5-point mark. Sure, his recent performances have been impressive, averaging 34.2 points over the past five games. However, it's crucial to note that when Mitchell hits the road, his scoring dips significantly to 19.4 points per game. Against the Magic, while he's averaged 29 points recently, his away numbers against them drop to around 23.4. With a hit rate of just 9 out of his last 10 games on the road for this under, the trends are leaning toward a tighter scoring night. Orlando's defense can be pesky, and with an expected stat value of just 24.93 points for Mitchell, it seems like a wise move to take the under here. A calculated play that reflects the reality of Mitchell's scoring away from home.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Moussa Diabate, taking the under on his points and assists line of 11.5 feels like a savvy move. Traveling to Sacramento, he faces a Kings squad that's been tough defensively. Over his last five games, Diabate has averaged just 7.8 points and 1 assist, and his away stats drop even further, clocking in at only 4.4 points and 1.2 assists. Against the Kings, he's managed an average of 8 points in their recent matchups, with an even lower output of 12 points when on the road-hardly impressive considering the stakes. The numbers don't lie: in his last 16 outings, he's hit the under on this line 13 times. With a solid hit rate of 6 out of 7 away games, it seems like Diabate might struggle to find his rhythm in this matchup, making the under a compelling play.

Miles Bridges (Charlotte Hornets) Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Miles Bridges is primed for a breakout performance against the Kings, especially when you consider his recent form. Over the last 14 games, he's hit the combined points and rebounds target of 20.5 an impressive 11 times, showcasing his consistency. What's even more compelling is his away game production; in the last six road outings, he's averaged 22.8 points and 6 rebounds. Against Sacramento, he's historically fared even better, racking up an average of 25 points and 5.5 rebounds when playing on their court. With the Kings' defense struggling to contain versatile scorers, Bridges is in the perfect position to exploit mismatches and find his rhythm. The numbers suggest he could easily surpass the 20.5 mark, making this prop bet not just a calculated risk, but a smart play. Expect Bridges to shine in this matchup, pushing well above that threshold.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Under 2.5 Rebounds (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Utah Jazz and the New York Knicks, Landry Shamet's rebounding prop set at under 2.5 presents a compelling opportunity. Shamet has been struggling to make an impact on the glass, averaging just 0.8 rebounds in his last five games, and it dips even lower to 0.4 when he's on the road. Against the Knicks, he's managed only 0.8 rebounds on average, and when away, that number slightly improves to 1.5-but still far from the mark we need.With Shamet's recent track record showing a perfect under hit rate of 11 for 11, including 8 for 8 on the road, the trend is hard to ignore. The Jazz will likely rely on their bigger bodies to clean the boards, limiting Shamet's chances. Given all this, betting the under on Shamet feels like a smart play as he looks to focus more on his perimeter shooting than

Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets head into Sacramento, all eyes will be on Brandon Miller, but that might not be a good thing for his stat line. With a points-rebounds-assists threshold set at 30.5, the numbers suggest we should lean towards the under. Miller has been on a hot streak recently, but when playing away, he has consistently fallen short, hitting that mark in just 5 of his last 5 road games. The Kings' defense is no joke, either; they allow fewer points per game than most, which could further hinder Miller's chances of hitting that lofty total. With an expected stat value of 27.46 and an implied probability of just over 56% for going under, this matchup seems to favor the under. Sometimes, the pressure of the away crowd can amplify the challenges for a young talent like Miller, making this bet an intriguing opportunity.

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 10.5 Points + Assists (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Timberwolves, Kris Dunn's recent form suggests we're looking at a solid opportunity to bet the under on his combined points and assists line of 10.5. Over the last five games, Dunn has averaged just 5.8 points and 1.2 assists, well below our target. Even more telling is his recent performance against Minnesota, where he's only notched 3.6 points and 1.6 assists, highlighting a clear struggle to find his rhythm against this opponent.Dunn's overall hit rate is an impressive 5 out of his last 6 games, but he's only managed to exceed 10.5 in one of those outings. With his average at a mere 7.98 in expected contributions, it's hard to envision him breaking through that mark. Look for this trend to continue as the Clippers face a Timberwolves defense that has kept him largely in check.

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