Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming Charlotte Hornets' match against the Portland Trail Blazers, it's clear Moussa Diabate's under 11.5 points + assists is a wager worth considering. The numbers back up this narrative. Diabate's performance on home turf has been steady, but not prolific, averaging 8.6 points and a meager 0.8 assists over the last five games. His record against the Blazers is even more telling, with a paltry 3.6 points and 0.8 assists on average-figures that shrink further when he's playing them at home. Yet, the market has set his line at 11.5. Do the math, and you'll see why I'm leaning towards the under. A solid hit rate of 13 out of 16 overall and 7 out of 9 at home further strengthen our case. Diabate's consistent but modest figures don't bode well for a high-scoring evening on February 28

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Lakers hit the road to face off against the Warriors this Sunday, I've got my eagle eyes on Austin Reaves. This guy's been lighting up the three-point line like a Christmas tree, especially when he's away from home. In his last five road games, he's averaged a blistering 4.6 threes. Even against the Warriors' defense, Reaves has managed 2.2 threes on average - comfortably over the 1.5 mark we're looking at. Now, I'm not one to bank on streaks, but it's hard to ignore that Reaves has surpassed this total in all his last three games overall and in all his last eight road games. The stats suggest a solid chance he'll keep the ball rolling, and I'm backing him to do just that. Austin Reaves over 1.5 threes? That's where my money's going.

Pat Spencer (Golden State Warriors) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Listen up folks, we've got an intriguing matchup this Sunday, March 1, 2026, between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers. Now, we all know Pat Spencer can be a force on the court, but let's talk about his three-point shooting. We're targeting under 1.5 threes for Spencer in this game, and here's why. Pat's been on a bit of a dry spell lately. He's nailed the under 1.5 threes in each of his last 8 games. That's right, a perfect 8 out of 8. But it's not just on the road, he's also lagging behind at home. In fact, he's hit the under in his last 20 home games, a flawless record. The numbers are pointing to a less than stellar performance from downtown. So, while Pat might still bring his usual energy, don't expect a barrage of threes from him this game.

Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Alright, let's talk about Chet Holmgren's prop bet for under 26.5 total points and rebounds. Now, I'm not saying the kid doesn't have talent, but the numbers are telling me a slightly subdued game may be on the cards for him against the Denver Nuggets this Saturday. Let's break it down. Over Holmgren's last five outings, he's averaged a solid 13 points and 10 boards per game. Impressive? Sure. But check the home stats - they dip slightly to 14 points and 7.6 rebounds. Now, the Nuggets are no pushovers, and Chet's averaged just 14.4 points and 8 rebounds against them at home. Considering the trend, I'd bank on him coming below the 26.5 mark. Besides, his under has hit the last three times overall and four times at home, so the pattern is in our favor. Just something to chew on as you place your bets,

Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors) Under 6.5 Assists (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Bet on Immanuel Quickley recording under 6.5 assists as the Toronto Raptors take on the Washington Wizards. While Quickley's been an assist machine lately, averaging 7 in his last five games, his performance on the road tells a different tale. His average plummets to just 6.6 assists away from home - already under our mark. That number drops even more dramatically when faced with the Wizards' stifling defense, averaging a mere 2.3 assists in their den. It's clear, the Wizards have the young guard's number. With an impressive hit rate of 12 in his last 17 away games, the stats are pointing to a less productive night for Quickley. So, despite his recent tear, I'd say this is one assist party he may not show up for. Trust the signs, folks. Go low on Quickley's assists this time around.

Josh Okogie (Charlotte Hornets) Over 5.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Josh Okogie has been on a hot streak recently, a fact that's hard to ignore. His average tally over the last five games stands at a solid 9.2 points, significantly above the 5.5-point line we're considering. And while his numbers do dip a bit when on the road, with an average of 5 points, let's not forget that he's been consistently hitting this mark, evident from his 4 out of 6 success rate. Okogie's performance against the Miami Heat further bolsters our confidence, having averaged 5.2 points in their recent clashes. With an expected stat value of 8.67 and a model edge of 13.6%, there's a compelling case for backing Okogie to go Over 5.5 points. So, when the Rockets take on Miami this Saturday, keep your eyes on Okogie. He's got a good shot at outperforming expectations.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro