Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 03/16 (Josh Hart Highlights): Best Value Bets

As the Knicks gear up to host the Golden State Warriors, Mikal Bridges stands in an ideal position to shine. Playing at home, he's been a consistent contributor, averaging 5.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists over his last five games. But let's dig deeper; against the Warriors, his numbers soar to an average of 6.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists, suggesting he thrives against this matchup. Bridges has hit the over on this combined total in 11 of his last 16 games, and impressively, he's nailed it in all five recent home outings. With the Knicks looking to leverage their home court advantage, it's clear that Bridges is not just a role player; he's a key cog in the offense. Expect him to surpass that 6.5 threshold with his all-around game, especially when the stakes are high against a formidable opponent like Golden State.

Isaiah Collier (Utah Jazz) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-167)

As the Kings gear up to face the Jazz, all eyes should be on Isaiah Collier to grab over 2.5 rebounds. Collier has been on a roll lately, securing an impressive 3.4 rebounds per game over his last five outings. When playing away, he steps it up even further, averaging 3.8 boards. Against the Jazz, he's shown promise, with an overall hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 games. In fact, his recent away performances against Utah, where he's consistently met or exceeded this mark, make this bet even more enticing. The Jazz have struggled to control the boards, and with Collier's aggressive play style, it's reasonable to expect him to capitalize on any opportunities. Given his current form and the favorable matchup, taking the over on Collier's rebounds feels like a smart play for this matchup.

DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-154)

As the Kings host the Jazz, all eyes should be on DeMar DeRozan to exceed 7.5 combined rebounds and assists. Recent trends paint a promising picture for him. At home, DeRozan has stepped up, averaging a solid 5.8 assists and 3.4 rebounds in his last five games. More impressively, he's hit the over in three of his last four outings and has a perfect home record recently, going 3-for-3. Against the Jazz, he's also shown he can elevate his game, averaging 6.2 assists in their last five matchups, which bodes well for his playmaking duties tonight. With an expected stat value of nearly 9, DeRozan is poised to thrive in front of a home crowd, making this prop bet an enticing option. As he continues to assert his leadership, don't be surprised if he comfortably surpasses that 7.5 mark tonight.

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Assists (-192)

As the Kings take on the Jazz on March 16, all eyes will be on Brice Sensabaugh, but betting on him to go under 2.5 assists feels like a savvy move. While his recent form shows he's managed about 1.8 assists over the last five games, his performance against Utah specifically tells a different story-averaging just 1.2 assists in their previous matchups. Now, in away games, Sensabaugh has found some rhythm, averaging 2.8 assists, but that's largely inflated by a couple of standout performances. Digging deeper, he's hit the under in 8 of his last 9 games, a trend that's hard to ignore. With the Jazz's defense tightening up lately, coupled with Sensabaugh's average of just 2.5 assists against them while on the road, betting the under seems not just reasonable but almost inevitable. Expect him to fall short of the mark in this matchup.

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-1250)

When it comes to Gary Payton II's rebounding numbers, the evidence strongly points toward the Under 6.5 in the Warriors' matchup against the Knicks. Recently, Payton has been averaging just 2 boards per game, with a paltry 1.6 rebounds in away games. This season, he's faced New York twice, managing only 2 rebounds each time. With the Knicks boasting a formidable frontcourt, Payton will find it tough to carve out space. His overall hit rate for the Under is a staggering 100%, and considering he's gone Under in all eight of his recent away games, it's hard to envision him breaking that trend against a team that's been solid on the glass. The implied probability of the Under hitting sits at an impressive 92.6%, making this bet not just a safe choice but a smart one in the context of this matchup.