Matthew Liberatore (STL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Matthew Liberatore's recent performance indicates a strong ability to limit walks, making the under 1.5 walks a compelling bet. Over his last five games, Liberatore has averaged just 0.4 walks per game, both overall and in away games. This is well below the line of 1.5. Even more impressively, when facing the White Sox, Liberatore has not allowed a single walk in his last five encounters. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's maintaining control and efficiency on the mound. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, signal consistent performance. All these factors combined suggest a high probability of Liberatore allowing fewer than 1.5 walks in the upcoming game.

Bailey Falter (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Bailey Falter has consistently demonstrated strong pitching performance, as evidenced by his average of 4 strikeouts in his last five games overall, and 3.2 strikeouts in his last five away games. His innings pitched averages also support the likelihood of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. With an overall innings pitched average of 5.2 and an away average of 4.6, Falter typically stays in the game long enough to achieve a high number of strikeouts. His current away hit streak of 3 further underlines his consistent performance in away games. Therefore, based on Falter's demonstrated ability to consistently achieve a high number of strikeouts, particularly in away games, the bet on him for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a solid choice.

Matthew Liberatore (STL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Matthew Liberatore's recent performance suggests a strong bet for under 2.5 earned runs. His last five overall games show an average of just 2 earned runs, with his away games average even lower at 1.6. This trend is even more pronounced against the Chicago White Sox, with Liberatore allowing just 1 earned run on average in his last five appearances. His innings pitched and outs averages also support this, showing that he tends to stay in the game long enough to maintain control. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, are low, indicating that he is not giving up many hits, a key factor in preventing earned runs. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability that Liberatore will allow fewer than 2.5 earned runs in the upcoming game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jazz Chisholm Jr. for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice considering his recent performance and statistics. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, indicating a low frequency of this event. Moreover, when playing at home, his stolen base average drops to zero, suggesting he is less likely to attempt a steal in familiar territory. His record against the Los Angeles Angels also shows no stolen bases, further supporting the under 0.5 bet. Additionally, there have been no instances of Chisholm being caught stealing, suggesting a cautious approach to base running. Despite his current hit streak, these statistics imply a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game.

Chris Bassitt (TOR) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Chris Bassitt for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Bassitt has allowed an average of 5.4 hits overall and 6 hits at home. This is significantly higher than the line set at 3.5. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages align with these hit rates, indicating that he's often in the game long enough to allow this number of hits. His current home hit streak is also noteworthy at 12 games, demonstrating a consistent pattern of allowing hits when playing at home. While he has performed slightly better against this opponent, allowing an average of 4.5 hits, this is still above the line. This data strongly suggests that Bassitt is likely to allow over 3.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 on Elly De La Cruz's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. De La Cruz's average stolen base rate at home games is only 0.2, significantly lower than his overall average of 1. This suggests that he is less likely to steal bases when playing at home. Furthermore, when facing the Minnesota Twins, his stolen base average drops to zero, indicating that he struggles to steal bases against this team. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is also zero, which further reduces his chances of getting on base and subsequently stealing bases. Thus, the under 0.5 bet is a good choice based on De La Cruz's lower performance at home and against the Twins.

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