Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 06/13 (German Marquez Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

The bet on Luis Severino for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Severino has averaged 4.4 strikeouts overall and 5.2 strikeouts when playing away. These averages are well above the line of 2.5, indicating a strong likelihood that he will exceed this number. Furthermore, when facing the Kansas City Royals, Severino's strikeout average is 4.3, again surpassing the line. His innings pitched and outs averages also support this, with Severino consistently pitching for over five innings and achieving more than 15 outs per game. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his consistent performance in terms of strikeouts makes this bet a logical choice.

Erick Fedde (STL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-385)

The bet on Erick Fedde for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance. Fedde's recent averages reveal a strong ability to exceed the line. His Last 5 (L5) overall strikeouts average is slightly above the line at 2.6. Notably, his performance improves when playing away games, with his L5 away strikeouts average rising to 3.8 and even reaching 6 against this specific opponent. His innings pitched and outs averages remain steady across all situations, indicating a reliable contribution to the game. Furthermore, Fedde is currently on a hit streak, both overall and away, suggesting a positive momentum. Therefore, considering his recent performance and current form, the bet on Fedde achieving over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-145)

Ian Happ's performance data points towards a favorable outcome for the Over 0.5 bet in the Batter Hits Alternate market. His recent form shows a strong hitting consistency, averaging 2.2 hits overall and 1.8 hits at home in the last five games. Despite a slightly lower average of 1 hit in his last five home games, he's on a current home hit streak of three games, suggesting he's found his rhythm at home. Additionally, Happ's plate appearance (PA) averages, both overall (4.8) and at home (3.8), indicate that he gets ample opportunities to bat, increasing his chances of getting hits. Against the Pirates, he has averaged 1.8 hits per game in his last five encounters. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability that Happ will hit over 0.5 in the upcoming game against the Pirates.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-333)

The under 0.5 bet on Jazz Chisholm Jr. for stolen bases is a reliable choice based on his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases overall and the same average for away games. This trend suggests a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Moreover, when playing against the Boston Red Sox, his stolen base average is only marginally higher at 0.4. Furthermore, the Red Sox have an average of 0.4 caught stealing against their opponents, indicating a solid defense against base stealing. While Chisholm Jr. is on a hit streak, this does not necessarily translate to stolen bases. Therefore, the data supports the under 0.5 bet for Chisholm Jr.'s stolen bases in the upcoming game.

Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-435)

Luis Severino's performance data strongly supports the bet for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market. His last five overall and away games show a consistent record of achieving more than the line of 2.5 strikeouts. His average strikeouts per game, both overall (4.4) and away (5.2), are significantly higher than the line. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also indicate that he stays in the game long enough to achieve these higher strikeout numbers. Even when considering his performance specifically against the Royals, his average strikeouts (4.3) still exceed the line. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his consistent past performance suggests a high probability of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.