Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-102)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Cameron's recent form is solid, averaging 16.8 disposals in his last five home games, exceeding the 14.5 line. With a strong contested possession average of 9.6, he's well-positioned to maintain possession against Brisbane. Cameron's efficient disposal rate of 63.5% enhances his chances of meeting the line. His consistency is evident with a 9-game hit streak at home and an overall hit rate of 12/14. Facing the Lions, against whom he averages 14 disposals, Cameron's trend suggests he'll surpass 14.5 disposals comfortably. Betting over on Cameron's disposals is a logical choice given his recent performances and statistical trends.
Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-102)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Cameron is a solid pick to go Over 14.5 disposals against Brisbane. His model-predicted 16.6 disposals, with a 15.7% edge, coupled with his recent form, averaging 16.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, indicates he's likely to surpass the line. Having hit 9/9 games at home and boasting a consistent 12/14 overall hit rate, Cameron's reliable ball-winning ability, averaging 11.4 kicks and 5.4 handballs at home, positions him well to meet the over. Facing an opponent he's historically averaged 14 disposals against, Cameron's home advantage at the MCG further strengthens this bet.
Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 12.5 Disposals (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Ah Chee is poised to shine in the upcoming away game based on his recent form and matchup history. With a solid average of 13.4 disposals in his last five away games and a strong overall hit rate, he's been consistent. Facing Collingwood, where he has averaged 9.8 disposals in his last five encounters, Ah Chee is set to surpass the 12.5 disposals line. His recent 15-disposal average and a 73.9% disposalefficiency suggest he's in prime form. The model's prediction of 14.8 disposals further supports this bet, indicating a 14.0% edge, making the Over 12.5 disposals for Callum Ah Chee a compelling choice for this AFL matchup.
Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Fort is poised to excel against Collingwood based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to achieve 11.7 disposals and a strong 12.6% edge, Fort's averaging 10.8 disposals in his last five away games, exceeding the set line of 9.5. His 58.2% disposal efficiency and ability to gain 150.2 meters per game enhance his potential output. Having hit his disposals target in 9 out of the last 13 away games and with a current hit streak of 2 on the road, Fort's consistent performance, including a perfect hit rate in the last 4 games overall, suggests a high likelihood of surpassing 9.5 disposals against Collingwood.
Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Fort is a solid bet to surpass 9.5 disposals against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an average of 10.8 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent hit rate, Fort's trend shows he's likely to maintain his performance. Against Collingwood specifically, he has averaged 9 disposals in his last five encounters, indicating he's comfortable against this opponent. Fort's overall disposals average of 12 further supports his capability to exceed the line. His steady contested possessions and disposal efficiency back his ability to contribute effectively. These stats, combined with his current hit streaks and the model's prediction, suggest a high probability of Fort achieving over 9.5 disposals in this game.
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 24.5 Disposals (-119)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dayne Zorko is poised to surpass 24.5 disposals against Collingwood. His recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals in away games and 27.6 overall, exceeds the line. Zorko's proficiency is evident with an 86.9% disposal efficiency and a consistent L5 contested possessions average of 4.4. Facing Collingwood, he historically reaches 21.2 disposals on average. Zorko's current hit streak of 2 and a solid 4/5 hit rate indicate his reliability. With the model predicting him to achieve 26.7 disposals and a 12.5% edge, the bet on Dayne Zorko to exceed 24.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity for AFL betting enthusiasts.
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