Chris Godwin (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chris Godwin for 'Yes' in the 'player_anytime_td' market is not strongly supported by recent performance data. Godwin's overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0/3, 0/5, and 3/10 respectively. His home hit rate is similarly low at 0/3, 1/5, and 4/10 for the same intervals. Godwin's performance against Atlanta is even less promising, with a hit rate of 0/5 overall and at home for both the last 3 and 5 games. His hit rate against Atlanta at home over the last 10 games is also zero. Godwin's current hit streaks are all zero, whether overall, at home, or specifically against Atlanta. While the model edge is 0.102326019289467, the historically low hit rates suggest caution when betting on Godwin to score a touchdown anytime in the
Rachaad White (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical data for Rachaad White strongly supports the bet on Under 16.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons. White's recent performance trend shows a consistent inability to surpass this target. The overall hit rate across his last 20 games is a mere 1/20, and his hit rate at home games is even lower at 0/20. Against the Falcons, White has only surpassed the target 2/6 times, dropping to 1/3 times when playing them at home. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating a recent dip in form. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.0648 implies a slight advantage to this under bet. All these statistics paint a clear picture of White's recent struggle to accumulate significant rushing yards, making the Under 16.5 bet a statistically compelling choice.
Baker Mayfield (TB) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-108)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistics strongly suggest that Baker Mayfield will finish with under 15.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game against the Atlanta Falcons. In all of his recent performances, Mayfield has consistently failed to exceed this threshold. He has an overall hit rate of 0 for his last 3, 5, and 10 games. Even factoring in his performance at home, his hit rate remains at 0 for the last three and five games, with a slightly better but still low 3/10 for his last 10 home games. Against Atlanta, his record is mixed, going 2/4 in the last four games, but he's only hit the mark once in his last two home games against them. His current hit streak for both overall and home games is 0. All these data points indicate that it's statistically likely for Mayfield to finish with under 15.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game.
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