David Pastrnak (Boston Bruins) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on David Pastrnak as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' is based on his consistent scoring performance in recent games, particularly away games. In his last five away games, Pastrnak has averaged 0.8 goals per game, significantly above the model's prediction of 0.53. His shot average in these games is also impressive at 2.4. This indicates that he is consistently putting himself in scoring positions and getting plenty of opportunities to score. Furthermore, his hit rate in the last five away games is 4/5, suggesting a high likelihood of scoring in the upcoming game. Although his overall current hit streak is zero, his performance in away games specifically provides a strong rationale for this bet. It is also worth noting that his overall hit rate in the last 16 games is 50%, reinforcing his scoring reliability.
Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins : Boston Bruins +1.5 (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Boston Bruins with a 1.5 Puck Line is a reasonable choice considering their recent performance and comparison with Ottawa Senators. Even though the Bruins have a 1-4 overall record in their last five games, they have managed to maintain a 3-2 record in their last five away games, demonstrating resilience on the road. Comparatively, the Senators have struggled at home, with a 1-4 record in their last five home games. Furthermore, the Bruins have an average of 3.4 goals in their overall last five games, higher than the Senators' 3.6. It’s also worth noting that the Bruins have managed to keep the goals against average lower than the Senators in their last five away games (2.6 vs 2.8). This suggests that the Bruins have a greater ability to outscore their opponents, even away from home, hence the bet.
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