Daniil Tarasov (Florida Panthers) Over 21.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Daniil Tarasov, playing at home, has consistently performed well in recent games, exemplifying this with a 16/20 hit rate in his last 20 home games. His average saves per game at home stands at 20.2, just below the prop bet line of 21.5, suggesting a strong potential for him to hit the over. The model prediction of 23.68 total saves is significantly higher than the betting line, implying that the model is confident in a strong performance from Tarasov. Furthermore, Tarasov is facing an average of 22.2 shots per game at home. This indicates a high activity level in the goal, raising the possibility of more saves. While his current home game hit streak is 0, the overall hit rate and recent performance data significantly support the rationale for betting over 21.5 on Tarasov's total saves.
Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks : Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Anaheim Ducks at 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is supported by their strong offensive performance in their last five away games. The Ducks have averaged 4.6 goals per game on the road, which is significantly higher than the Panthers' 2.2 overall goals per game average. Further, the Ducks have been outshooting their opponents, with a 37 shots average in their recent away games, suggesting they are creating plenty of scoring opportunities. Their assists average of 8.4 in away games also indicates strong teamwork and playmaking ability. Conversely, the Panthers' recent record shows they are conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game, which could be exploited by the Ducks' potent offense. Despite the Ducks' defensive vulnerabilities, their strong offense could help them cover the 1.5 'Puck Line'.
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