Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Nashville Predators +1.5 (-196)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Nashville Predators 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is primarily based on their recent home performance and the comparative performance of the Tampa Bay Lightning. Despite having a slightly negative record in their last five home games (2-3), Nashville has managed to maintain an average of 2.4 goals per game, higher than Tampa Bay's away average of 1.8. Moreover, Nashville's average goals against at home (2.8) match Tampa's average goals for in their last five away games (2.8), implying a potential equilibrium in the game. Furthermore, the Predators' overall shots average (28.8) is considerably higher than the Lightning's shots average on the road (19.6), indicating a more aggressive offensive strategy that could tilt the game in their favor. Therefore, considering these comparative statistics, a bet on Nashville Predators 1.5 is a plausible choice.
Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators) Over 23.5 Saves (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Juuse Saros for over 23.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is rational given his recent performance metrics. Saros has consistently surpassed the 23.5 saves threshold in his last five home games, averaging 30.2 saves, which is significantly higher than the set line. The model's prediction of 26.19 saves for the upcoming game further supports this, as it falls well above the line. Saros also has a strong track record in his recent performances, with a home games hit rate of 4/5, meaning he's exceeded the save threshold in four out of his last five home games. This trend, combined with his high save average, indicates a high probability that Saros will again surpass the 23.5 saves mark in the game against the Tampa Bay Lightning.
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