Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-196)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Trevor Zegras shooting over 1.5 shots on goal shows promise due to a combination of his recent performance and model predictions. Zegras's average shots on goal in his last 5 away games is 3.6, which is significantly higher than the line of 1.5. His overall average in the last 5 games also exceeds the line, standing at 3. This suggests a high likelihood of Zegras reaching the necessary 2 shots on goal. Zegras is also on a positive streak, hitting over 1.5 shots in his last 2 away games and last 3 games overall. The model's prediction of 2.88 shots aligns with this trend and adds further support for the bet. Therefore, based on Zegras's recent performance and the model's projection, the bet on over 1.5 shots on goal seems statistically justified.
Bo Horvat (New York Islanders) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+155)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Bo Horvat as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' is primarily based on his consistent scoring performance both at home and overall. His average goals per game for the last five matches, both at home and in general, is 0.4. This suggests a strong likelihood of him scoring in the upcoming game, reflecting the model prediction of 0.43. Additionally, Horvat's shot averages are impressive. Over the last five home games, he averages three shots, and overall, this increases slightly to 3.2. This level of offensive involvement further supports the bet. Furthermore, considering his hit rate, Horvat has scored in approximately half of his last 17 and 20 games overall and at home, respectively. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his past performance indicates a fair chance of him breaking this streak and scoring in the upcoming match.
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