Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-196)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Trevor Zegras shooting over 1.5 shots on goal shows promise due to a combination of his recent performance and model predictions. Zegras's average shots on goal in his last 5 away games is 3.6, which is significantly higher than the line of 1.5. His overall average in the last 5 games also exceeds the line, standing at 3. This suggests a high likelihood of Zegras reaching the necessary 2 shots on goal. Zegras is also on a positive streak, hitting over 1.5 shots in his last 2 away games and last 3 games overall. The model's prediction of 2.88 shots aligns with this trend and adds further support for the bet. Therefore, based on Zegras's recent performance and the model's projection, the bet on over 1.5 shots on goal seems statistically justified.
New York Islanders vs Philadelphia Flyers : Philadelphia Flyers win (+118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Philadelphia Flyers' recent performance is the main reason for this bet. Looking at the L5 stats, the Flyers have a stronger offensive performance, averaging 2.4 goals per game, compared to the Islanders' 1.6. The Flyers also have a higher average of assists (4.6) and points (7), indicating a more cohesive and effective offensive strategy. Despite the Islanders' strong record against the Flyers, their overall performance has been weak, with a 1-4 record in their last five games, compared to the Flyers' balanced 3-2 record. Even though the Flyers have a higher goals against average, their offensive prowess is predicted to outmatch the Islanders' defense. The bet is thus based on the Flyers' superior offensive stats and overall performance.
Bo Horvat (New York Islanders) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+155)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Bo Horvat as an 'Anytime Goalscorer' is primarily based on his consistent scoring performance both at home and overall. His average goals per game for the last five matches, both at home and in general, is 0.4. This suggests a strong likelihood of him scoring in the upcoming game, reflecting the model prediction of 0.43. Additionally, Horvat's shot averages are impressive. Over the last five home games, he averages three shots, and overall, this increases slightly to 3.2. This level of offensive involvement further supports the bet. Furthermore, considering his hit rate, Horvat has scored in approximately half of his last 17 and 20 games overall and at home, respectively. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his past performance indicates a fair chance of him breaking this streak and scoring in the upcoming match.
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