Jacob Markstrom (New Jersey Devils) Over 21.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet for Jacob Markstrom to register over 21.5 saves in the matchup against Philadelphia Flyers is backed by several key statistical insights. Over his last five games at home, Markstrom has averaged 22.8 saves, which is above the line set by the bookmaker. This trend continues when considering his overall last five performances, where he's averaged 23 saves. Furthermore, Markstrom's model prediction of 24.88 exceeds the set line significantly. The model's standard deviation of 7.58, while indicating variability, still encapsulates the line comfortably within its range. Markstrom's hit rate over the last 12 home games is also telling, with the over hitting in 8 out of 12 cases. Although his current streak is at zero, his performance in 2 out of the last 3 overall games indicates a potential return to form. Therefore, these data-driven insights suggest a high probability for Markstrom to achieve over 21.5 saves.
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