Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Mitch Keller's recent performance data indicates a trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits per game, making the over bet a solid choice. His last five games overall and away both show averages of hits allowed above the line at 5.6 and 6.8 respectively. Even when considering his record against the Brewers, Keller's average hits allowed is 6.8, which is well above the 2.5 line. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's on the mound long enough for opponents to get more hits. Additionally, Keller's current hit streaks, both overall and away, further support this trend. Therefore, based on Keller's recent and historical performance, it's statistically likely that he will allow more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Brewers.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Mitch Keller's recent performance data supports a bet on Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over the last five games, Keller has averaged 2 walks per game overall and 1.6 walks per game when playing away. His average innings pitched per game also indicate a reasonable likelihood of allowing at least one walk, with averages of 5.5 innings overall and 5.2 innings away. Additionally, Keller's current hit streaks, both overall and away, suggest a pattern of giving up hits, which can correlate with a higher likelihood of allowing walks. His averages against the Brewers specifically also align with these trends. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests that Keller is likely to allow at least one walk in the upcoming game against the Brewers.
Tommy Pham (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tommy Pham for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on Pham's recent performance data. In the last five games overall, Pham has not managed to steal a base, suggesting a general downturn in his stealing ability. This trend continues when we look at his away game statistics, where he averages only 0.2 stolen bases. Furthermore, in his last five games against the Brewers, he has failed to steal a base. Despite his current 15-game hit streak, it seems Pham's stealing productivity is not parallel to his hitting success. His lack of caught stealing also indicates that he is not attempting many steals. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Pham to steal less than 0.5 bases in the game is a sound choice.
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