George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on George Springer for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance statistics. Springer's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall, and when playing at home, this average drops to zero. This suggests he is less likely to steal a base when playing at home. Furthermore, when facing the Brewers, his stolen base average is a low 0.2. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is only at 1, indicating he's not in a particularly hot phase of play. Additionally, there are no caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games, which implies he is not attempting to steal bases frequently. These data points suggest a lower likelihood of Springer stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.
Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Max Scherzer for Over 2.5 strikeouts is a solid choice based on his recent pitching performance. Scherzer's last five games show an average of 3.6 strikeouts overall and at home, which is above the line of 2.5. Moreover, when facing the Brewers, his strikeout average increases significantly to 6, indicating his effectiveness against this specific team. His innings pitched and outs averages also support this, with higher numbers at home and against the Brewers, suggesting he tends to stay in the game longer, thus having more opportunities for strikeouts. Despite a current hit streak of zero, his past performance shows a clear ability to exceed the 2.5 strikeouts line, making this bet a statistically sound choice.
Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Christian Yelich's stolen bases is a strong choice, given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Yelich's average stolen bases, both overall and away, are lower than the line set at 0.5. Specifically, his average stolen bases for the last five away games is 0.2, which is less than half of the line. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and away, is at 1, suggesting a lack of momentum in his performance. Additionally, when considering the opposition's caught stealing average, the Blue Jays have a decent record at 0.2. This implies they have a good defensive strategy in place that could limit Yelich's opportunities for stolen bases. Therefore, the statistical data supports betting under on Yelich's stolen bases for this game.
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