Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-222)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble to have over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market carries a certain degree of risk, considering his recent performance. Tremble's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 50% (10/20), which is a statistical toss-up. His home hit rate in the last 20 games is slightly better at 65% (13/20), suggesting that he performs better in home games. However, his hit rates in more recent games, specifically in the last 3 and 5 games, are considerably lower. His overall hit rate in the last 5 games is 40% (2/5), and in the last 3 games, it's only 33% (1/3). His home hit rates for the same periods are even lower. However, the model edge of 0.189692018265831 suggests a potential value in this bet. So, while betting on Tremble to
Tommy Tremble (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tommy Tremble for over 2.5 player receptions in the Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams game doesn't seem to be a statistically promising option. Tremble's historical hit rates are not very favorable. His overall hit rate is only 23% (12/52) and at home, it's even lower at 22% (6/27). If we look at his recent performance, the hit rates are still low with only 20% in the last 20 games (4/20) and 10% in the last 10 games (1/10). Even his current hit streak at home is zero. Additionally, his model edge of 0.1741 suggests a limited advantage. This means that the likelihood of Tremble exceeding 2.5 player receptions is statistically low, making it a risky bet. Therefore, based on the historical and recent data, it would be more prudent to consider other betting options.
Xavier Legette (CAR) Over 59.5 Player reception yds alternate (+1280)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical evidence does not support a bet on Xavier Legette going over 59.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game between the Carolina Panthers and the Los Angeles Rams. Legette's recent performance shows a consistent inability to meet this threshold. He has not achieved over 59.5 receiving yards in his last 20 games overall, with only a single instance of surpassing this mark in his entire career. His performance at home is equally unimpressive, with a hit rate of 1/14. This suggests that even the home field advantage doesn't significantly improve his chances. The model edge of 0.1669 is not substantial enough to justify a bet against these strong negative trends. Considering Legette's low overall hit rate and current hit streak of zero, wagering on him to exceed 59.5 receiving yards would be contrary to the available data.
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