Brenton Strange (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistical analysis for Brenton Strange's performance does not strongly support a bet on him scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills. His overall hit rate is low, with only 3 successful attempts out of 31 overall games. His performance at home games is not promising either, with a hit rate of 2 out of 17. Even though his hit rate against Buffalo is slightly better with a 50% success rate (1 out of 2 games), this sample size is too small to draw a strong conclusion. Lastly, his recent performance shows a lack of scoring consistency, with zero touchdowns in his last 5, 10, and 20 games overall, as well as his last 3 and 5 home games. Given these statistics, the data does not strongly favor Strange scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game.
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical evidence suggests that betting on Trevor Lawrence to score a touchdown at any time during the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game is a high-risk proposition. Lawrence has a zero hit rate over his last 20 overall games, last 10 home games, and last 2 games against Buffalo. In fact, his overall hit rate is only 9/66, indicating that he only scores in approximately 14% of games. His home hit rate is slightly better at just under 12%, but he has never scored against Buffalo. Considering these statistics, it appears that Lawrence's likelihood of scoring is relatively low. Although the model edge is positive, the historical performance data does not support a bet in favor of Lawrence scoring a touchdown at any time during this game.
Parker Washington (JAX) Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Parker Washington to exceed 51.5 yards in the 'player_reception_yds' market in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills is statistically unpromising. The recent performance data shows that Washington has been underperforming in this respect. Over his last 5 games, he has a hit rate of 0/5, and his overall hit rate is only 4/33, implying that he surpasses this yardage threshold in approximately 12% of games. Furthermore, his performance at home games isn't encouraging either, with a hit rate of 3/15. His specific record against Buffalo is even worse, with 0/1 hit rate. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating a lack of recent success. While the model edge of 0.134838230137783 suggests a slight advantage, the player's historical performance does not support a bet for 'Over' 51.5 yards.
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