Andrei Iosivas (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistics provided make a compelling case against betting on Andrei Iosivas to score a touchdown at any time during the Bengals vs. Ravens game. Iosivas has not scored a touchdown in his last 5 games overall, and his overall hit rate is a low 8/36. His performance at home is only slightly better, with a hit rate of 6/20. More concerning is his historical performance against the Ravens; he has never scored a touchdown against them, whether at home or away. His current hit streak in all categories is zero. Despite the model showing a slight edge of 0.184865701829149, the player's recent and historical performance doesn't support a bet on Iosivas to score a touchdown in the upcoming game.
Chase Brown (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chase Brown to score a touchdown at any time during the Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens game presents a mixed picture. Looking at the general recent performance and hit rates, Brown's chances seem low - he hasn't scored a touchdown in his last five games overall or at home. He's currently on a zero-game touchdown streak both overall and at home. However, his performance against the Baltimore Ravens is a different story. In his last three games against the Ravens, Brown has scored in 2, and he's currently on a two-game touchdown streak against them. In his last five and ten games against the Ravens, he's maintained a 2/3 hit rate, showing a strong performance against this specific team. While Brown's general recent form is a concern, his specific success against the Ravens suggests there may be value in betting on him to score a touchdown in this game.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens : Over 52.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Over 52.5 bet in the 'totals' market for this game is supported by the scoring trends of both teams. The home team has averaged 28 points in their last 5 games while allowing an average of 32 points. This makes an average total of 60 points which is above the set total line of 52.5. The away team also contributes to this trend with an average of 21.8 points scored and 20.8 points allowed, making a total of 42.6. Their head-to-head record also favors the 'Over' bet as the home team has a 1-4 record against the away team, indicating high scoring games. Additionally, both teams have had explosive rates over 0.20 in their last 5 games. These factors, combined with a model edge of 6.12%, make a strong case for an 'Over' bet in this matchup.
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