DJ Moore (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+225)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
DJ Moore's recent performance and trends suggest a strong probability of him scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between the Chicago Bears and the Pittsburgh Steelers. While his model edge of 19.46% in the 'player_anytime_td' market indicates a relatively high probability of this outcome, it's his recent performances that reinforce this prediction. Moore has consistently shown his ability to find the end zone in recent games, providing a reliable option for his team in crucial situations. Additionally, the Steelers' defense has shown some vulnerabilities against the pass, which could open up opportunities for Moore to score. Therefore, given Moore's recent performances and the predicted match dynamics, betting on him to score a touchdown at any time during the game is a statistically-backed choice.
Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers : NA Moneyline (+136)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the head-to-head (h2h) market is supported by several key performance indicators from the last five games. Firstly, the Steelers have a solid home record of 4-1, outscoring their opponents by an average of 1.8 points per game. Secondly, they have a superior expected points added (EPA) difference both overall (3.53) and at home (4.69), indicating they're generally making more impactful plays. On the other hand, the away team has a negative point difference (-4.4) in their last five away games and a poor away record of 2-3. Their EPA difference is also significantly lower both overall (0.16) and on the road (-3.41), suggesting lesser efficiency in their plays. Moreover, the Steelers have a positive turnover difference both overall (1.6) and at home (1.6), while the away team's turnover difference is notably
Rome Odunze (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the provided data, betting on Rome Odunze to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Chicago Bears and the Pittsburgh Steelers seems to be a risky proposition. The player's recent performance and trends do not support a favorable outcome for this bet. In the last 20 games, Odunze has only scored once, and he has not scored a touchdown in his last 10 games. Furthermore, he hasn't scored at any point in the 13 home games he's played. His overall hit rate is only 2 out of 27 games. Considering these statistics, the model edge of 0.124915883771918 might not be substantial enough to justify the risk, given Odunze's poor scoring record. In conclusion, the data suggests a low probability of Odunze scoring a touchdown in this game, making this a high-risk bet.
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