Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) Under 1.5 Receptions (-139)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Xavier Hutchinson to have under 1.5 receptions in the Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills game is supported by a multitude of recent performance and trend data. Over the last 5 games, Hutchinson's hit rate for over 1.5 receptions is 1/5, indicating a clear trend towards underperformance. When playing at home, this hit rate is consistent (1/5). Against the Buffalo Bills, Hutchinson has failed to exceed 1.5 receptions in the last game, both overall and at home. His overall hit rate, while slightly better, is still less than impressive (22/38), but it drops significantly in home games (10/19). The model edge of 0.148 reinforces this bet's value. Finally, Hutchinson is currently on a hit streak of 0, indicating a lack of recent success. Considering all these factors, the data strongly suggests that Hutchinson will likely have under 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game.
Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Based on the available data, betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time during the Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets game does not seem promising. Flowers' recent performance and trends indicate a downward trajectory in scoring. His overall hit rate over the last 3, 5, 10 and 20 games is zero, one, two, and four respectively. Additionally, he has not scored in his last three home games. His overall home hit rate is less than 20% (4/23) and his current hit streak is zero, both at home and overall. Considering these stats, it seems unlikely that Flowers will score a touchdown in the upcoming game. Therefore, from a statistical standpoint, it would not be advisable to place a bet on Zay Flowers scoring a touchdown in this game.
Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Mark Andrews scoring a touchdown anytime in the game may not be a favorable choice, given the data presented. His recent performance shows a lack of touchdowns, with a current overall hit streak of zero. This indicates that he hasn't scored a touchdown in his last couple of games. Furthermore, his hit rates over different periods and situations are not promising. He has failed to score a touchdown in his last five games both overall and while playing at home. Specifically against the New York Jets, Andrews has no touchdowns in his last encounter. The overall hit rate of 18/56 and the home hit rate of 8/28 are below average. Although there is a model edge of 0.131851352830012, the lack of recent scoring form and unfavorable hit rate statistics suggest that a bet on Andrews scoring a touchdown anytime may not be the best option.
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