Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time during the Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets game appears to be a risky proposition, based on his recent performance and hit rates. Over his last 5 and 10 games, regardless of location, Flowers has failed to score a touchdown. His overall and home hit rates are also quite low at 8/45 and 4/23 respectively, suggesting that he doesn't often find the end zone. Moreover, his current hit streaks both overall and at home are 0, indicating his recent lack of scoring. The model edge of 0.1176 could suggest a slight advantage, but the consistent lack of scoring from Flowers makes this bet a high-risk one. Therefore, the statistical evidence doesn't provide firm support for placing this bet.
Lamar Jackson (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Lamar Jackson scoring a touchdown at any time during the game against the New York Jets is not recommended based on the data provided. Jackson's overall hit rate is 10/56, which translates to an 18% success rate. His performance in home games is slightly better, with a hit rate of 5/27, but it's still less than 20%. When playing against the Jets, Jackson has never scored a touchdown in his only previous encounter. His recent performance also does not suggest a high likelihood of scoring a touchdown, as he hasn't scored in his last 10 games overall, his last 10 home games, or his last 5 games against the Jets. His current streak without a touchdown in overall, home, and Jets games is also at zero. Therefore, the statistical analysis doesn't support betting on Jackson to score a touchdown in this game.
Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting "Yes" on Mark Andrews scoring a touchdown at any point during the Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets game appears to be a risky bet based on recent and historical data. Andrews has struggled to find the end zone recently, with an overall hit rate of 0 in his last 5, 10, and 3 games. This is further compounded by his lack of success at home, where he has failed to score in his last 3 and 5 games. Moreover, Andrews has never scored against the Jets in previous encounters, with a hit rate of 0/1. His overall success rate is 18/56, which is less than a third, and his home rate is similarly low at 8/28. Therefore, despite the model edge of 0.11, the data suggests that Andrews scoring a touchdown in this game is unlikely based on past performances.
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