Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-556)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tom Kennedy for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is supported by a few key statistics. First, his overall hit rate against Dallas is perfect at 1/1, meaning in the sole game he has played against them, he has achieved over 1.5 receptions. This statistic is important as it suggests that Kennedy's playing style may be particularly effective against Dallas's defensive strategies. Secondly, both his overall and home current hit streaks are at 1, indicating a recent uptick in his performance. Lastly, the model edge of 0.127551715645414 implies that the statistical model used to generate odds sees a significant advantage in this bet. However, it should be noted that Kennedy's hit rates over larger sample sizes are less promising (3/7 overall and 2/4 at home), indicating possible inconsistencies in his performance.
Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The prop bet on Tom Kennedy to have over 14.5 receiving yards in the Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys game seems to be a risky proposition. Kennedy's recent performance data reveals a lack of consistency in surpassing this benchmark. His overall hit rate in the last 5, 10, and 20 games is 2/5, 3/7, and 3/7 respectively, highlighting an inconsistency in meeting the 14.5 yards criteria. Furthermore, his hit rate against Dallas is 0/1, indicating he didn't surpass this marker in their recent matchup. His overall and home current hit streaks are also at zero, suggesting a lack of recent success. Despite having a slightly favorable model edge of 0.068, the bulk of the statistical evidence suggests a cautious approach to this bet.
Rashod Bateman (BAL) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Rashod Bateman's recent performance and trends suggest a strong rationale for betting on the 'Under 22.5' in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Bateman's overall hit rate is low, at 11/51, and even lower when playing at home, with a rate of 4/27. His performance over the last 3, 5, 10, and even 20 games shows a trend of underperforming, with zero hits in the last 3 and 5 games. This lack of performance is also evident in his home games with a hit rate of 0/3 and 0/5 in his last 3 and 5 home games respectively. Furthermore, his current hit streak stands at zero for overall and home games. While his performance against the Steelers is slightly better, his overall lack of consistency provides a solid backing for an 'Under 22.5' bet in this market.
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