Rashod Bateman (BAL) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Rashod Bateman's recent performance and trends suggest a strong rationale for betting on the 'Under 22.5' in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Bateman's overall hit rate is low, at 11/51, and even lower when playing at home, with a rate of 4/27. His performance over the last 3, 5, 10, and even 20 games shows a trend of underperforming, with zero hits in the last 3 and 5 games. This lack of performance is also evident in his home games with a hit rate of 0/3 and 0/5 in his last 3 and 5 home games respectively. Furthermore, his current hit streak stands at zero for overall and home games. While his performance against the Steelers is slightly better, his overall lack of consistency provides a solid backing for an 'Under 22.5' bet in this market.
Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any point during the Ravens vs Steelers game appears unfavorable based on recent performance data and hit rates. Flowers has not scored in his last 5 overall games, his last 5 home games, and his last 5 games against Pittsburgh. His hit rate against Pittsburgh is slightly better with 1 in 3 games resulting in a touchdown, but he has never scored against them at home. Flowers doesn't have a current streak of scoring touchdowns in any scenario. Moreover, his overall hit rate of 8 in 47 games indicates a low scoring frequency. Although the model edge is positive, the player's recent performance and historical hit rates do not support a bet in favor of Flowers scoring a touchdown in this game.
Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Mark Andrews to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers appears to carry a high degree of risk, based on historical performance data. Andrews' recent performance (evidenced by the L5 averages) shows a clear lack of scoring, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 and a home hit rate of 0/5. Moreover, his track record against Pittsburgh is not particularly encouraging, with a hit rate of just 1/5 overall and 1/2 when playing at home. In his last 10 overall games and last 10 home games, Andrews has also failed to score consistently, with a hit rate of 0/10 and 2/10 respectively. Furthermore, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home, suggesting a lack of recent scoring form. While the model edge of 0.131981376249636 suggests some potential value, the lacklustre scoring statistics for Andrews make this
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