Tyler Allgeier (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Given the statistics provided, betting on Tyler Allgeier to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Seattle Seahawks appears to be a risky proposition. Allgeier's recent performance and trends do not favor this outcome. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is very low, with him not scoring in most games. Furthermore, his specific performance against the Seahawks and at home games, both in recent matches and overall, shows a consistent lack of touchdowns. His current hit streak is also at zero, indicating he hasn't scored in his most recent games. Thus, while the model gives a slight edge of 0.199, the player's historical performance and current form suggest a low probability of this bet being successful.
Drake London (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Drake London's overall hit rate may not inspire confidence, but a closer look reveals promising trends. Despite his recent dry spell (0/5 overall and at home), London has a perfect record against the Seattle Seahawks, scoring in both previous clashes (2/2) and maintaining his streak at home (1/1). His performance against Seattle is consistently stronger, which suggests a favorable matchup, possibly due to Seattle's defensive vulnerabilities that London can exploit. Moreover, his model edge of 0.1797 indicates a positive expected value, reflecting the probability of London scoring against the Seahawks is undervalued by the market. This makes the bet an attractive proposition. While his recent performance might make bettors wary, his strong record against the Seahawks, combined with the positive model edge, makes a strong case for betting on London to score in the 'player_anytime_td' market. Remember, past performance can't guarantee future results, but it provides an indication.
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Tyler Allgeier to be under 20.5 rush yards in the upcoming Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks game is a sound decision backed by performance data. Allgeier's recent performance shows a consistent inability to hit this target. In his last five games overall, he has missed the mark each time. His hit rate at home is equally disappointing, with 0 hits in the last five games. Furthermore, his performance against the Seahawks specifically is unimpressive, with zero hits in both the last two and five encounters. When playing against the Seahawks at home, Allgeier's record remains unbroken with zero hits. His overall current hit streak stands at zero, further highlighting his lackluster performance. All these statistics show a clear trend of underperformance relative to the 20.5 rush yards target, providing a strong rationale for this under bet.
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