Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 03/14 (7-Leg) Featuring LaMelo Ball!: Beat the Books

As the Timberwolves head into Golden State, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards, but let's pump the brakes on those lofty point and assist projections. Edwards has been a force lately, averaging just under 24 points and around 4.6 assists in his last five games. However, against the Warriors, he's historically averaged only 26.2 points and 5.6 assists. With his away average nudging slightly higher, it's still a far cry from the 44.5 we're betting against.The Warriors' defensive intensity is palpable at home, often stifling opposing scorers. Edwards has thrived in recent matchups, but his last 11 outings show he's hit this under every time. Considering the 92.6% implied probability here, it's hard to ignore the numbers. So, while he may dazzle, this matchup could lean more towards a quiet night for Edwards than a highlight reel.

Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics) Under 8.5 Assists (-1000)

As we gear up for the March 14 clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz, all eyes should be on Jrue Holiday's assist total, specifically the under at 8.5. Here's the deal: while Holiday has been a playmaker throughout his career, recent trends show a worrying dip. In his last five games, he's averaging just 3.6 assists overall, and even at home, that number barely ticks up to 3.8. Against the Jazz, he's averaged 5.3 assists, but let's not forget that Utah has tightened up defensively, allowing only 8 assists to opponents in their last six games. Furthermore, Holiday has hit the under in all 14 of his last opportunities. With an implied probability of 90.9% favoring this under, there's strong backing for this bet. It looks like Holiday might be more focused on scoring than distributing in this matchup.

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 5.5 Rebounds + Assists (-1111)

On March 14, Anthony Edwards is stepping into a perfect spot to showcase his versatility against the Warriors. With an impressive average of 7.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists over his last five outings, he's been a dynamic force on the court. When playing away, those numbers dip slightly, but he still manages 6.4 rebounds and 4 assists per game. What's compelling is his track record against Golden State; he consistently pulls down about 7.6 rebounds and dishes out 5.6 assists. He's hitting over 5.5 combined rebounds and assists in every game of his last 20, a staggering streak that speaks volumes to his reliability. With the Timberwolves needing to keep pace with a high-octane Warriors team, expect Edwards to rise to the occasion and exceed that 5.5 mark once again. It's not just a bet; it's a solid investment in his upward trajectory.

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 49.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-1000)

As the Timberwolves head into Golden State, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards, but the numbers suggest a different narrative. Averaging just 23 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists over his last five games, he's been solid-but not nearly enough to hit that lofty 49.5 mark for points, rebounds, and assists combined.When we zoom in on his away performances, he's managing 27 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4 assists-again, under the target. Historical matchups reveal a similar trend, with his average against the Warriors sitting at 26.2 points, and his away rebounding dropping to 4.2. With a perfect 11-for-11 hit rate recently and a staggering 90.9% implied probability for this under, it seems the smart money is leaning towards Edwards falling short of that combined total in this high-stakes clash.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-909)

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to host the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija. While he's been a solid contributor lately, his numbers suggest a deviation from the high expectations surrounding his rebounding and assisting totals. Over his last five games, he averaged a healthy 10.8 rebounds and 6 assists, but those figures drop slightly at home-10.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Against the Jazz specifically, his averages dip to 6.5 rebounds and 4 assists at home. This matchup might not favor him as much as bettors hope, especially considering an expected stat value around 12.45. With the line set at 17.5, targeting the under feels prudent. The numbers tell a story of potential struggles against this opponent, making it a sound play to bank on Avdija falling short of that lofty total.

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 29.5 Points (-132)

As the Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards. However, targeting the under on his points total at 29.5 feels like the savvy play here. While Edwards has been electric this season, averaging 27 points on the road, he's faced the Warriors' defensive schemes before and typically comes in under this lofty mark. His last five outings against Golden State have yielded an average of 26.2 points, and as a visitor, that number edges up to 28.6. Dig deeper, and you'll see he's hit the under in 12 of his last 17 games overall, with an impressive 9-for-13 away record. With the Warriors' defense tightening at home, it seems likely Edwards will again find himself in the low 20s. This game has all the makings of a gritty battle, and it might just be a night where he's contained. Take the under.