Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-625)
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Dayne Zorko is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Collingwood at the MCG. With a model prediction of 26.7, Zorko's recent form supports this bet. In his last 5 away games, he has averaged 25.2 disposals, showing a consistent ability to find the ball. His impressive disposal efficiency of 86.9% adds to his reliability. Against Collingwood, he has averaged 21.2 disposals, which further strengthens the case for him surpassing the 19.5 mark. Zorko's overall hit rate of 5/5 in his last 5 games and a 2-game hit streak away make this bet even more appealing. His ability to maintain possession and impact the game makes him a strong candidate to exceed the line.
Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Cameron has been consistently hitting above 9.5 disposals, with an average of 16.8 in his last five home games. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he averages 14 disposals, Cameron's overall season average of 16.2 further supports this bet. His recent form, including a strong contested possessions average of 9.6 at home, a high disposal efficiency of 63.5%, and a current hit streak of 20 games at home, indicates his reliability. With an implied probability of 88.5% and a model prediction of 16.6 disposals, offering a 3.7% edge, this bet on Darcy Cameron to surpass 9.5 disposals seems well-founded for the upcoming Collingwood Magpies home game at the MCG.
Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Dunkley is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Collingwood. His recent form is impressive, averaging 27 disposals in his last five away games and maintaining a high disposal efficiency of 71.3%. Dunkley's consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 29 away games and a perfect 20/20 hit rate in away games. Facing Collingwood, he has maintained an average of 25.6 disposals in their last five encounters. With his overall average at 27.6 disposals and a streak of 9 consecutive hits, Dunkley is poised to exceed the 19.5 disposals line, making this a favorable bet considering his strong performance trend.
Brody Mihocek (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Brody Mihocek presents a solid opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions game at the MCG. With a strong recent average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and 1.3 against the same opponent, Mihocek has been consistent in finding the big sticks. His involvement in the forward line is evident through his 4.6 score involvements and 2.4 inside 50s per game. Despite a slightly lower overall goal accuracy, his recent form suggests he is poised to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Considering his reliable goal-scoring trend and the model's prediction of 1.5 goals, backing Mihocek to score anytime seems like a favorable bet.
Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Cam Rayner is a strong bet to snag a goal against Collingwood based on his recent performance. With an average of 2.4 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal, Rayner's goal-scoring form is consistent. His 63.3% goal accuracy and 4.2 shots at goal per game indicate he's a threat in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his 5.4 score involvements and 3.4 inside 50s per game show his active role in creating scoring opportunities. Rayner's recent stats suggest he is likely to maintain his goal-scoring streak, making him a sound bet to score anytime in this matchup.
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