Nathaniel Lowe (WSN) Over 0.5 Hits (-175)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Nathaniel Lowe to have over 0.5 hits in this game is a strong choice due to his recent and historical performance. His last five overall hits average (1.4) and his last five versus opponent hits average (1.4) both suggest a strong likelihood of achieving at least one hit. Furthermore, his overall current hit streak is at 3 games, indicating he's in good form. His performance at home is particularly noteworthy, with a last five home hits average of 1.8, well above the line of 0.5. His plate appearances at home (4.6) and against this opponent (4.2) also provide ample opportunities for hits. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Lowe achieving over 0.5 hits in this game.
CJ Abrams (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on CJ Abrams for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound due to his recent performance data. Abrams' last five games, regardless of location, show an average of 0.4 stolen bases, which is already below the line of 0.5. This average drops to 0.2 when considering only home games, suggesting a further decrease in stolen base likelihood when playing at home. His record against the Philadelphia Phillies also leans towards the under, with an average of 0.8 stolen bases. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, is 0. This lack of hits reduces the opportunities for stolen bases. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet for Abrams' stolen bases is a strong choice, backed by his lower stolen base averages and current hit streak.
Trea Turner (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Trea Turner is a statistically sound choice, given his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Turner's overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is below the line set for this bet. This trend is even more pronounced when looking at his away games, where he has not recorded any stolen bases in his last five. Additionally, his record against the Nationals specifically also shows zero stolen bases in the last five match-ups. These statistics suggest that Turner is unlikely to steal a base in this game. Furthermore, while Turner's current hit streak is positive, this does not directly translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the under bet appears to be the most logical based on the provided data.
Bryson Stott (PHI) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Bryson Stott's performance data indicates a strong propensity for hitting. His overall average in the last five games is 1.8 hits per game, significantly higher than the line of 0.5. Even when playing away, his average remains above the line at 1.2. Stott's current overall hit streak is also impressive at 9 games, with 3 of those hits occurring consecutively in away games. Although his average hits against the Nationals is slightly lower (0.6), it still surpasses the 0.5 line. Furthermore, his plate appearances (PA), both overall and away, indicate he has plenty of opportunities to hit. With an average of 5.2 overall PAs and 4.8 away, the chances of Stott achieving over 0.5 hits are statistically favorable, making this bet a sensible choice.
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