John Bates (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on John Bates for Under 1.5 in the 'player_receptions' market seems to be a reasonable choice based on several statistical factors. Bates has an overall hit rate of 29/43 and an even stronger record at home with a hit rate of 13/20. Looking specifically at his performance against the Philadelphia Eagles, his hit rate of 4/5 is impressive, and at home, he has a perfect hit rate of 3/3. These consistent performance trends suggest that Bates is unlikely to exceed 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game. His current hit streaks, particularly his home streak of 0 and his overall streak of 1, also indicate a trend towards fewer receptions. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.188876864024265 supports the likelihood of this outcome. Therefore, the data-driven rationale supports an Under 1.5 bet for Bates' player receptions in this game.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score a touchdown at any time during the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game is a statistically sound decision. The model edge of 0.179728175641882, which indicates the advantage one has against the market, supports this. The higher the model edge, the better the bet, and anything over 0.1 is generally considered to be good. Furthermore, Rodriguez Jr.'s recent performance statistics indicate a high likelihood of him scoring. If his 'last 5 games' or 'L5 averages' show a consistent scoring pattern, that would further bolster the case for this bet. It's also important to consider any hit rates or scoring streaks he may have, as these trends can provide a deeper understanding of his scoring probability. Make sure to also consider the defensive strengths of the Philadelphia Eagles as this could impact Rodriguez Jr.'s scoring chances.
Ben Sinnott (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-147)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Ben Sinnott for Under 1.5 in the 'player_receptions' market is statistically supported due to Sinnott's recent performance and hit rate trends. His overall hit rate over the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is strong, with 3/3, 5/5, 9/10, and 9/10 respectively. The data suggests that he has consistently managed to stay under 1.5 receptions in the majority of his games, and he is currently on a 9-game streak of accomplishing this feat. While his hit rate at home is slightly lower at 2/3, it still indicates a trend of staying under the 1.5 mark. Additionally, the model edge of 0.149 is in favor of the 'Under' outcome, adding further statistical weight to this bet. Therefore, the data suggests that betting on Ben Sinnott for Under 1.5 receptions is a statistically sound
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