Logan Thompson (Washington Capitals) Over 22.5 Saves (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Thompson for Over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is justified by several statistical factors. Firstly, Thompson's model prediction is higher (24.59) than the line, indicating a likelihood of exceeding the set bet. Secondly, his last five home games have an average save count of 23.2, again higher than the 22.5 line. This consistent home performance is further supported by a current home game hit streak of three. Lastly, his overall saves average from recent games is 24.8, which continues to suggest an ability to surpass the bet line. While there's a standard deviation of 7.43, the strong performance trend reduces the risk associated with this variability. Thus, based on Thompson's recent performance, both home, and overall, there's a statistically valid reason to back this bet.
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