Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche : Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-133)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Chicago Blackhawks 1.5' in the Puck Line market can be rationalized by analyzing recent performance data. The Blackhawks have a solid overall record (4-1) in their last five games, demonstrating strong form, and have been averaging 3.4 goals per game, versus 1.8 goals against. Though their home record is weaker (2-3), their average goals for and against remain positive (2.8 vs 2.4). Colorado Avalanche, despite their strong overall and away record, are allowing an average of 2.8 goals against in their away games. The model prediction of -0.09 suggests a close game. Therefore, taking the Blackhawks with a 1.5 goal handicap seems reasonable, as they have demonstrated the ability to keep games close, and would still 'win' in this market even with a one-goal loss.
Victor Olofsson (Colorado Avalanche) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-192)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Victor Olofsson to have over 1.5 'Player Shots On Goal' during the Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche game is based primarily on his recent performance and model prediction. In Olofsson's last 5 away games, he's averaged 2.4 shots, above the 1.5 line, and the model predicts a strong performance of 2.83 shots. His overall average in the last 5 games may be slightly below the bet line at 1.6 shots, but his hit rate in his last 9 games (7/9) and his last 5 away games (4/5) suggest he consistently takes more than 1.5 shots. The current hit streak of 1 in both away games and overall also implies he's in form. The standard deviation of 1.38, although indicating variability in his performance, still supports the likelihood of him surpassing the 1.5 shots line.
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