Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes : Carolina Hurricanes win (-192)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Carolina Hurricanes is based on their superior recent performance compared to the Buffalo Sabres. Despite having an equal overall record in their last five games (3-2), the Hurricanes have a better away record (3-2) than the Sabres' home record (1-4). This suggests that the Hurricanes perform better on the road than the Sabres do at home. Additionally, the Hurricanes have a higher average of goals scored (3.2) and fewer goals against (3.0) in their last five games compared to the Sabres' averages (3.0 goals scored, 3.2 goals against). Furthermore, the Hurricanes have more shots on average (36.2) compared to the Sabres (22), indicating a more aggressive offensive strategy. While the head-to-head record slightly favors the Sabres (3-2), the overall stats and performance indicate a stronger performance by the Hurricanes.
Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes : Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Buffalo Sabres have shown commendable performance in their last 5 games, particularly in their home ground, robustly maintaining an average of 2.8 goals per game. While their record against the Hurricanes is balanced with 3 wins and 2 losses, they have demonstrated a significant offensive prowess with an average of 2.4 EV goals and 5.2 assists in their last 5 home games. The Sabres' average of 2.8 goals against the Hurricanes' 2.6 suggests a close match, but with the 1.5 puck line, the bet leans favorably towards the Sabres. The model prediction of -0.06, close to zero, indicates an almost even competition. Betting on Buffalo Sabres with 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market, therefore, is a statistically sound decision considering their recent performance and the model prediction for the game.
Frederik Andersen (Carolina Hurricanes) Over 22.5 Saves (+100)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Frederik Andersen to make over 22.5 saves in the game against the Buffalo Sabres is largely based on his recent performance data and the model's prediction. Looking at Andersen's last five (L5) away games, he has averaged 25 saves, which is over the proposed line of 22.5. Furthermore, he has faced an average of 27.6 shots against him in these games, suggesting that the volume of shots he is likely to face could be sufficient to enable him to reach the required number of saves. Additionally, the model prediction supports this outcome, forecasting that Andersen will make approximately 24.93 saves in the game. Although his current hit streak is zero, his past performance data and model insight provide a solid basis for betting on him to make over 22.5 saves.
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