Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Analytics Breakdown

The draw bet for the Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano match is backed by their similar recent performances. Both teams have had a mixed bag of results in their last five games, with Villarreal's record at 2-1-2 and Rayo's at 1-2-2. Furthermore, their head-to-head record in the last five encounters stands at 2-2-1, indicating a close contest. Statistically, both teams' scoring averages are nearly identical with Villarreal averaging 1 goal per game and Rayo averaging 1.2. The expected goals (xG) data, which predicts the number of goals a team is expected to score based on shot location and quality, also supports the draw outcome, with Villarreal's xG at 1.5 and Rayo's at 1.06. These stats suggest a balanced match, making a draw a plausible outcome.

Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano Moneyline (+370)

Betting on Rayo Vallecano as the match winner is a calculated risk based on their recent performance. Although Villarreal has a stronger home record, Rayo Vallecano's away record is comparable. Importantly, Rayo Vallecano has a higher average team score (1.2) compared to Villarreal's (1), indicating their recent ability to score more goals. Rayo Vallecano also has a higher average expected goals (xG) score (1.06) compared to Villarreal's (1.5), suggesting they create more scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Rayo Vallecano's average shots on target (Sot Sum) is slightly higher (4.8) than Villarreal's (4.6), indicating a marginally better precision in their attacks. Therefore, while both teams have performed similarly, Rayo Vallecano's slightly better scoring stats could tip the scales in their favor.