Getafe vs Girona: Girona +2.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on 'Girona 2.5' in the Handicap (Alternate) market is a good choice considering Girona's recent performance. Despite Girona's poor away record, the 2.5 handicap provides a significant cushion. Getafe, the home team, has averaged only 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, while Girona has conceded an average of 2 goals per game. This suggests that Getafe may struggle to overcome the 2.5 goal handicap. Additionally, Getafe's xG (expected goals) average of 0.84 and Girona's xG of 0.82 are similarly low, indicating a potentially low-scoring match. With these statistics, it is statistically probable that Girona will not lose by more than 2.5 goals, making this bet a reasonable choice.
Getafe vs Girona: Girona Moneyline (+260)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Girona as the match winner is backed by their overall performance against Getafe in their last five encounters, where they have won 2 out of 5 matches, compared to Getafe's 3 wins. Getafe's recent form at home is not impressive, with only 1 win in their last 5 home matches, indicating a potential vulnerability. Getafe's expected goals (xG) average is also lower than the opponent's xG average, suggesting they are creating fewer goal-scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Getafe's average opponent score is higher than their own average score, indicating a weak defense. Despite Girona's poor away record, their similar xG average to Getafe's and lower average of received yellow cards suggest they play a cleaner game, which could be beneficial. Given these factors, betting on Girona could yield a positive outcome.
Getafe vs Girona: Girona Moneyline (+260)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Girona is based on their performance against Getafe in their last five encounters, where they have won twice without a loss. Despite Getafe's home advantage, their recent home record shows more losses than wins (1-2-2), suggesting a vulnerability that Girona can exploit. Additionally, Getafe's average expected goals (xG) at home is lower than the average xG conceded, indicating a weak offensive performance. Similarly, Getafe's average goal scored at home is equal to the average goal conceded, further emphasizing their struggle to outscore opponents. Girona, on the other hand, despite their poor away record, have a similar xG value to Getafe's, implying they are capable of scoring. Given these factors, the bet on Girona appears to be a calculated risk with potential for a significant payoff.
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