Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/17 (Collin Gillespie Highlights): Best Value Bets

As the Houston Rockets gear up to face the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes will be on Reed Sheppard, especially when it comes to his rebounding numbers. With a prop set at 3.5, targeting the under seems wise. Sheppard has been on a remarkable run, hitting the under on this number in all of his last 15 games-an impressive feat that reflects both his playing style and the Rockets' offensive scheme, which often sees him positioned away from the paint. Moreover, at home, he's been even more reliable, with a perfect hit rate over his last 20 games. The Lakers, while a formidable opponent, tend to dominate the rebounding battle, limiting opportunities for players like Sheppard. With an implied probability of nearly 66% backing this under, it's a prop that feels both safe and strategically sound. Betting on Reed Sheppard to stay under 3.5 rebounds is not just a hunch; it's grounded in

P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks) Over 13.5 Points + Assists (-127)

When the Pelicans face off against the Mavericks, all eyes should be on P.J. Washington to shine. With an impressive average of 20.6 points and 2 assists over his last five games, he's proven to be a key contributor. Even better, when playing away, his scoring jumps to 15.8 points per game. Against the Mavericks, Washington has consistently found his rhythm, averaging 14.8 points recently and hitting 16 points in his last away game against them.With a perfect hit rate in his last six games, he's not just hot; he's on fire! His ability to blend scoring with playmaking makes the Over 13.5 points + assists bet particularly enticing. Moreover, his recent form against Dallas, where he's averaged 3.5 assists away, suggests he'll easily surpass this mark. As the Pelicans look to make a statement, expect Washington to rise to the occasion and deliver the goods.

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-135)

Kris Dunn's role on the Clippers has become increasingly defined, but recent numbers suggest his output might not match the expectations surrounding his scoring and playmaking. Averaging just 5.8 points and 1.2 assists over his last five games, he's been quiet on the offensive end. Against the Spurs, Dunn's numbers dip even further; he's posted just 6.8 points and 2.4 assists in recent matchups. The Spurs' defense has been effective in limiting production from players in Dunn's position, with opponents averaging 10.2 points and 3.2 assists against them. With Dunn hitting the under in eight of his last nine games and boasting a perfect 4-for-4 in home contests, taking the under on 11.5 points + assists seems like a smart play. It's all about finding value, and right now, it looks like Dunn's contributions will fall short of the mark.

Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-175)

As we dive into the matchup between the Clippers and Spurs, Bennedict Mathurin stands out as a prime candidate for the under 2.5 assists prop. Despite his undeniable talent, Mathurin has averaged just 1.2 assists over his last five games, and even when playing at home, that number ticks only slightly higher to 1.4. The Spurs, while not a defensive juggernaut, have managed to limit their opponents to an average of 2 assists per game in away matchups, making it a tough night for playmakers.In his last 20 outings, Mathurin has hit the under on this line 19 times, showcasing a remarkable consistency in not dishing out assists. With the Clippers' offensive schemes often running through other players, it's reasonable to expect Mathurin to find himself on the lower side of the assist column once again. Betting the under feels like a savvy move here.

Jevon Carter (Chicago Bulls) Under 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-128)

As the Hawks prepare to clash with the Magic, Jevon Carter presents a compelling case for the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists-a line set at 12.5. His recent performances tell a story of a player struggling to find his rhythm, averaging just 5 points, 1 rebound, and 1 assist over his last five games. When pitted against the Magic, Carter's average drops even further to just 5.8 points, highlighting his challenges against this particular defense.Moreover, the Hawks' home advantages don't seem to favor him either; his numbers at home mirror his overall struggles. With the Magic allowing an average of 10.4 points and only 2.4 assists to opposing guards, it's hard to envision Carter exceeding that threshold. Given his recent hit rate of under 12.5 in 18 of his last 20 games, this bet under feels not just safe, but smart.