Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-161)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistics provided suggest that betting on Stephen Curry to achieve over 3.5 rebounds in the Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets game is a good choice. Over his last five home games, Curry averages 5.4 overall rebounds, comfortably above the 3.5 threshold for this bet. Additionally, his overall average for the last five games, regardless of location, is 4.8 rebounds, again exceeding the 3.5 betting line. His expected stat value for the game is 5.62, further reinforcing this trend. While his average rebounds against the Nuggets are slightly lower (3.6), the overall hit rate for this bet in the last 11 games has been strong, achieving 8 out of 11 times. Similarly, the home hit rate for this bet in the last four home matches is 3 out of 4. This data supports the conclusion that this is a reliable bet.
Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-182)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical evidence strongly supports the bet on Jamal Murray to make over 1.5 three-pointers in the Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets game. Murray's recent performance shows a consistent pattern of exceeding this benchmark. Over the last five games, he has an average of 2 overall three-point field goals made and 2.2 when playing away. His performance against this specific opponent is even more encouraging, with an average of 2.2 three-point field goals made. Even when playing away against the Warriors, his average stays at 2. Furthermore, his recent hit rate is impressive, making three-pointers in six out of the last seven games, and four out of the last five away games. This indicates a strong likelihood that Murray will achieve more than 1.5 three-pointers in this game.
Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 28.5 Points (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Choosing to bet on Nikola Jokic scoring over 28.5 points in the game against Golden State Warriors is driven by several key statistics. Firstly, Jokic's average points scored in the last 5 games overall (28) and away games (29.6) are close to or above the 28.5 point threshold. Secondly, when looking at his performance against the Warriors specifically, Jokic's average points per game is even higher, both overall (33) and away (30.7). This suggests that Jokic tends to perform well against this particular opponent, which boosts the confidence in this bet. Lastly, Jokic has exceeded the 28.5 point mark in 2 out of his last 3 games, indicating his current form is strong. These factors combined provide strong statistical evidence that Jokic is likely to score over 28.5 points in the upcoming game.
Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-147)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Brandin Podziemski for Under 9.5 rebounds + assists in the Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets game is supported by several key statistics. Podziemski's combined average for rebounds and assists in the last five overall games is 9.4, which is lower than the outcome point of 9.5. This trend becomes even more pronounced when looking at home games specifically, where the combined average drops to 8.0. Additionally, Podziemski's performance against the Nuggets specifically also supports this bet. His average rebounds and assists versus this opponent is 9.0 overall and 8.5 at home. Notably, the expected stat value is 7.75, further reinforcing the likelihood of an under 9.5 result. Finally, the home hit rate over the last 20 games is 70%, indicating a strong trend of Podziemski falling under this mark in home games.
Obi Toppin (New York Knicks) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Obi Toppin's performance has been consistent, particularly in home games, which supports the bet for Over 14.5. Analyzing his last five games, he's averaged 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds at home, totaling 19 combined points and rebounds. This is well above the Over 14.5 line set by the bookmaker. Additionally, when specifically facing the Oklahoma City Thunder at home, Toppin's combined average is 19 (13 points and 6 rebounds), again exceeding the set line. Toppin's overall and home hit rates in the last four games are both at 75% (3 out of 4 times), illustrating a strong trend towards hitting the over. These statistics suggest a strong likelihood that Toppin will surpass the 14.5 points + rebounds target in the upcoming game.
Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Obi Toppin's recent performance data suggests a reasonable chance of hitting Over 14.5 for points and rebounds combined. His average points and rebounds in the last five overall games are 11.4 and 5 respectively, totaling 16.4, which is higher than the outcome point. Furthermore, Toppin's home performance has been stronger, averaging 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds, totaling 19. Specifically against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Toppin averages 13 points and 6 rebounds at home, a total of 19, again surpassing the outcome point. This trend is supported by his hit rate, with Toppin hitting this mark in three out of his last four games overall and at home. Therefore, the data indicates a good chance of Toppin achieving over 14.5 in points and rebounds in the upcoming game.
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