Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds (Sunday 11/23 Slate)

The bet on 'Milwaukee Bucks Over 97.5' for the Team Total Points is a solid choice given the Bucks' recent scoring performance. Over their last five games, the Bucks have averaged 116.2 points, well above the 97.5 point line set for this contest. Additionally, their home average is also impressive, scoring 113 points per game, significantly higher than the betting line. With the model prediction suggesting a score of approximately 116 points, this further reinforces the expectation that the Bucks will score over 97.5 points. The Bucks' recent record of 3-2, both overall and at home, indicates a strong performance and the potential to exceed the projected point total. Therefore, this bet is backed by the Bucks' consistent high scoring and reliable performance.

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards : Washington Wizards Under 126.5 Team Total Points (-588)

This bet leverages the recent performance trends of the Washington Wizards. Their overall record for the last five games is 1-4, indicating a poor run of form. Crucially, their away record is even worse, with no wins in the last five games. This suggests they struggle to perform on the road. Additionally, the Wizards' average score over the last five games, both overall and away, is well below the target of 126.5 points, at 115.2 and 107 points respectively. This aligns with our model prediction of 105.91 points for this game. The Wizards also tend to allow high scores from opponents, with an average of 122.8 overall and 121 away, which could further limit their own scoring opportunities. Therefore, betting on the Wizards to score under 126.5 points is statistically justified.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons : Milwaukee Bucks win (+275)

The bet on the Milwaukee Bucks is backed by their superior performance records, both overall and specifically against the Detroit Pistons. In their last five games, the Bucks have a stronger win rate (3-2) than the Pistons (1-4), and their scoring average is significantly higher (116.2 versus 103.6). Importantly, the Bucks have a clean sweep against the Pistons in their last four encounters, enhancing the likelihood of them winning this match. Furthermore, home advantage could play a significant role, as the Bucks have demonstrated similar performance at home as they have overall. Lastly, the Bucks have consistently outscored the Pistons, even when the latter play away, which strengthens the bet on the Bucks for the Moneyline market.

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : Under 254.5 Total Points (-1667)

The bet on 'Under 254.5' for the Total Points is a good choice, given the recent scoring trends of both teams. Over their last five games, the Orlando Magic have averaged 105.8 points, while the New York Knicks have averaged 125.4 points. Even at their highest scoring averages at home and away respectively (113 for Orlando and 119.8 for New York), the combined total is far below the set point of 254.5. Furthermore, the defensive records show that both teams allow less than the Outcome Point on average. The model prediction of 216 total points further supports this Under bet. Thus, the statistical evidence suggests a lower-scoring game than the 254.5 point line, making 'Under 254.5' a sound bet.

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards : Under 268.5 Total Points (-2000)

The under 268.5 bet for the Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards game is a good choice based on both teams' recent scoring data. The Bulls have averaged 108.6 points in their last five games, and the Wizards averaged 115.2 points. Even if both teams meet these averages, the combined score would be well under 268.5. The model prediction also supports this bet, projecting a total score of 228.05. Furthermore, when looking at the teams' defensive statistics, both allow fewer points than the betting line requires. The Bulls have been allowing an average of 109.6 points at home, while the Wizards have given up 121 points on the road. Given these figures, the likelihood of the total points surpassing 268.5 seems low, making the under a statistically sound bet.