Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans Under 125.5 Team Total Points (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'New Orleans Pelicans Under 125.5' in the Team Total Points (Alternate) market is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, the model prediction suggests the Pelicans will score around 113.57 points, considerably below the 125.5 point line. Additionally, the Pelicans' recent performance data reinforce this prediction. Over their last five games (both overall and away), they have averaged scores of 116.8 and 115.8 points respectively, both notably below the betting line. Furthermore, their opponents in those away games have only managed an average of 104.2 points, indicating strong Pelicans defence. Therefore, given this consistent underperformance relative to the 125.5 point line, it is statistically reasonable to bet on the 'New Orleans Pelicans Under 125.5'.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans 4.5 (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on New Orleans Pelicans at 4.5 points in the Point Spread market is well supported by recent performance statistics. Over the last five games, the Pelicans have a better overall record (3-2) compared to the Mavericks (1-4), indicating a stronger recent form. Furthermore, the Pelicans' defensive performance on the road is noteworthy, only conceding 104.2 points per game, significantly less than the Mavericks' 123.2 points per game conceded at home. This strong defensive performance could help them keep the game close or even win outright, thus covering the point spread. Although the Mavericks have a slightly higher average score, their recent form and defensive weaknesses make the Pelicans at 4.5 a strong choice.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans win (+142)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The New Orleans Pelicans are a strong bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Dallas Mavericks. The Pelicans have a more favorable recent record, holding a 3-2 record in their last five away games compared to the Mavericks' 1-4 home record. This indicates that the Pelicans are performing better in away games than the Mavericks are at home. Additionally, both teams have an equal record when playing against each other, making the competition level balanced. Although the Mavericks have a slightly higher team score in their last five games, the Pelicans have shown they can compete, with only a small difference in their away team scores. This solid performance on the road, combined with the Mavericks' struggling home record, suggests the Pelicans have a strong chance of winning.
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