Jose Ramirez (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-256)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jose Ramirez for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice considering his recent performance. Ramirez's average stolen base rate in the last five games overall is 0.6, which decreases to 0.2 when playing at home and against the Marlins. His current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home, indicating a recent slump in his performance. Furthermore, there have been no caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games, which suggests that Ramirez is not attempting many stolen bases recently. The lack of Cs also indicates a cautious approach, possibly due to his performance slump. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Ramirez to have fewer than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
Tyler Freeman (COL) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tyler Freeman for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is substantiated by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Freeman's overall hits average is just 0.2, indicating he's typically not getting more than one hit per game. This trend continues when we isolate his away games, where his average also sits at 0.2 hits. Furthermore, against the Cardinals, his hit average drops to zero. Despite a commendable overall hit streak, his performance does not translate into multiple hits per game. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to predict that Freeman is unlikely to exceed 1.5 hits in the upcoming game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Jake Irvin (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-270)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Jake Irvin's performance data provides compelling reasons to back this bet. His last five games have seen him average 5.4 strikeouts, more than double the line set for this match. This is consistent whether he's pitching at home or away, with his away average also at 5.4. His innings pitched (5.8) and outs (17.8) averages in away games also suggest he'll have ample opportunities to achieve the necessary strikeouts. Furthermore, Irvin is currently on a strong streak, with a 4-game overall hit streak and an impressive 10-game away hit streak. These stats indicate a consistent performance pattern that is well above the required line, making the bet on over 2.5 strikeouts a solid choice based on his recent performance.
Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 1.5 Hits (-189)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Ivan Herrera for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. His last five games show an overall hits average of just 0.8, despite an average of 3.2 plate appearances. This trend is even more pronounced when he's playing at home, with an average of only 0.7 hits from 4 plate appearances. Additionally, when facing the Rockies, his hits average is just 1.2 from 4 plate appearances. Despite a current hit streak of 2, both overall and at home, these numbers indicate a lower likelihood of Herrera achieving more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, the Under 1.5 bet is statistically more probable.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Fernando Tatis Jr. in the San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres game is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Tatis Jr.'s statistics reveal a low stolen base average across various conditions. His last five overall, away and against the opposition stolen base averages are all at 0.2, significantly under the line of 0.5. Furthermore, he has not been caught stealing in his last five overall, away games or against this specific opposition, indicating that he is not attempting many stolen bases. Even though he is on a hit streak, this hasn't translated into stealing bases. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests Tatis Jr. is unlikely to steal a base in this game, making the under 0.5 bet a good choice.
Xavier Edwards (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Xavier Edwards for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, both overall and away, Edwards has not recorded any stolen bases. Similarly, when facing the Cleveland Guardians, his stolen base average is zero. Despite his current hit streak, these hits have not translated into stolen bases. Furthermore, the lack of caught stealing incidents in the same period indicates a low risk-taking approach, suggesting Edwards is not attempting to steal bases. This pattern of play, combined with his zero stolen base average, makes it statistically unlikely that Edwards will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Cleveland Guardians. Therefore, the Under 0.5 bet is a good choice for this player and game.
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