Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Prediction & Picks (Rachaad White Impact) : Expert Betting Guide

Bucky Irving's recent performance and hit rates provide a strong basis for betting on the under of 17.5 player reception yards in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers game. Over his last 5 games, Irving has not exceeded this benchmark, with an overall hit rate of 0/5. More specifically, his performance at home is also poor, with a home hit rate of 0/5. When facing the Panthers, his stats are even less promising. He has not surpassed the 17.5-yard mark in his last two games against this team, both at home and away, which gives him a hit rate of 0/2. The overall current hit streak of 0 further supports the under bet, indicating a lack of recent success. Given these statistics, betting on Irving to stay under 17.5 reception yards seems to be a data-driven decision.

Bucky Irving (TB) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Bucky Irving's recent performance and hit rates suggest a strong rationale for betting on the Under 16.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Irving's overall hit rate in the last 10 games is 0/10, and his home hit rate is 3/10, suggesting a low probability of exceeding 16.5 reception yards. The trend continues when looking at his performance against the Carolina Panthers, with a hit rate of 0/2 overall and 0/1 at home. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 5/20, and his home hit rate is 6/15. This further strengthens the case for betting on the under. Even more compelling is that Irving's hit streaks are all currently at zero. The cumulative data point towards a lower probability of Irving exceeding the 16.5 player reception yards in the upcoming game.

Baker Mayfield (TB) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Based on the statistics provided, betting on Baker Mayfield to go under 16.5 rush yards seems statistically sound. Although Mayfield has consistently hit the under against the Panthers (4/4 overall and 2/2 at home), his overall performance is less impressive. In the last 20 games, Mayfield has only exceeded 16.5 rush yards once, and in the last 10 games, he failed to hit this mark at all. His performance at home is also poor, with an overall hit rate of 18/32. Furthermore, his current hit streak is zero, which suggests he is not in a period of high performance. The model edge of 0.073 also indicates that the under bet has a slight advantage. Therefore, based on Mayfield's recent performance and trends, it is reasonable to bet on him not exceeding 16.5 rush yards in the upcoming game against the Panthers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers : Under 43.5 Total Points (-108)

The betting rationale for under 43.5 points in the totals market lies in the performance data for both teams. The home team has scored an average of 21 points over the last five games, while the away team has scored 18 points. This gives us a combined average of 39 points, which is under the 43.5 total. Moreover, the home team has a negative point differential over the last 5 games, indicating they're losing more than they're winning, and the away team has a wider negative point differential, reinforcing this trend. The home team also has a negative Expected Points Added (EPA) difference indicating their offensive play isn't outperforming their defense, and the away team's EPA difference is even more negative, showing a struggle on both sides of the ball. The turnover differentials for both sides are also negative, which typically leads to fewer scoring opportunities. These combined factors suggest a lower scoring game, hence the under 43.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers : Under 43.5 Total Points (-110)

Based on the provided statistics, the rationale for betting on 'Under 43.5' in the totals market is mainly due to the recent scoring performances of both teams. The home team has scored an average of 21 points per game in their last five games, while the away team has scored an average of 18 points, totaling 39. This is well below the projected total of 43.5, indicating an 'Under' bet could be profitable. Also, both teams have shown relatively weak offensive performances recently, with negative EPA (Expected Points Added) differentials and low explosive rates. The home team has a negative point differential in their last five games (-1.6), and the away team's differential is even worse (-5). The turnover rates also support a lower scoring game, as both teams have generated more turnovers than they've forced, which tend to kill offensive drives and decrease scoring opportunities. Overall, the data suggests a lower scoring game, hence the 'Under