Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Victor Scott II's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Scott II has averaged only 0.2 stolen bases overall and at home, indicating a low frequency of stealing bases. Furthermore, his performance against the Cincinnati Reds shows no stolen bases in the last five games, suggesting that the Reds' defense effectively limits his stealing opportunities. Additionally, his current hit streak is only at 1, both overall and at home, which means he is not consistently getting on base to have the chance to steal. Considering these factors, the likelihood of Scott II stealing a base in this game is statistically low, making the under 0.5 bet a data-driven choice.

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Elly De La Cruz for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by several key statistics. Despite De La Cruz's overall average of 1 stolen base per game, this figure drops significantly when considering his performance against the Cardinals and in away games. His average stolen bases against the Cardinals is just 0.4, and his average away stolen bases is even lower at 0.6. Furthermore, his current hit streak both overall and away is at zero, indicating a recent slump in performance. In addition, the Cardinals have an average of 0.2 caught stealing per game, suggesting they have a solid defence against stolen bases. These factors combined suggest a lower probability of De La Cruz stealing a base in this game, making the under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

Andrew Abbott (CIN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Andrew Abbott for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is statistically sound given his recent performance. Abbott's average walks allowed over the last five games is 1.8 overall and 2.6 when playing away, both significantly higher than the line of 0.5. When facing the Cardinals, his walks allowed average increases to 3.2, further supporting the bet. Despite having an average innings pitched of 5.4 and outs average of 16.6, his high walk rates persist. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, do not negate his tendency to allow walks. Given these stats, it's highly probable Abbott will allow at least one walk in the game, making the Over 0.5 bet a promising choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds : Cincinnati Reds Win (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Cincinnati Reds are a solid bet on the Moneyline market for their game against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Reds have been performing better offensively, scoring an average of 8 runs in their last five games, both overall and away, compared to the Cardinals' 4.2 overall and 3.6 at home. Although the Reds have allowed slightly more runs (4.6) than the Cardinals (4.4), their superior offensive performance can compensate for this. Furthermore, the Cardinals' recent record is weak, with just one win in their last five games overall and a losing 2-3 record against the Reds. The Reds, therefore, have a statistical edge that justifies the bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds : Cincinnati Reds Win (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Cincinnati Reds are a solid bet in this matchup, primarily due to their superior scoring performance in recent games. Over the last five games, the Reds have averaged 8 runs, significantly outpacing the Cardinals who have averaged just 4.2 runs. The Reds' scoring prowess is consistent both overall and away, suggesting a stable and strong offensive lineup. Although both teams have allowed a similar number of runs on average, the Reds' higher scoring rate provides them an edge. Additionally, the Reds have a slightly better recent record against the Cardinals, with a 3-2 win-loss ratio, indicating they've had success against this specific opponent. The combination of these factors make the Cincinnati Reds a compelling choice for this bet.

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