St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Colorado Rockies Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs market is a solid choice given the Rockies' recent performance. They've averaged 4.3 runs in their last five games, with an average of 5.6 hits, which indicates a consistent offensive capability. Even in away games, they've managed to score an average of 3 runs. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 4.4 runs in their last five games. While they've performed slightly better at home, allowing only 1.4 runs on average, the Rockies' consistent scoring and the Cardinals' recent defensive weaknesses make it likely that the Rockies will score at least one run. The model prediction of 5.28 runs further supports this bet, suggesting a strong probability of the Rockies scoring.
Tyler Freeman (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tyler Freeman for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically justified by his recent performance. Over the last five games, Freeman's overall stolen base average is just 0.2, and when playing away, he hasn't stolen any bases at all. This trend continues when looking at his performance against the Cardinals, where he also hasn't managed to steal any bases. Furthermore, his current hit streak is zero, which means he is not getting on base frequently, reducing his opportunities to steal. Although he has a strong away hit streak of 13, without successful steals in these scenarios, it's unlikely he will suddenly start stealing bases. This data suggests that Freeman is not a significant base-stealing threat, making the Under 0.5 bet a reasonable choice.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies : Over 5 Total Runs (-833)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Over 5' for Total Runs in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies game is backed by the recent scoring data of both teams. The Cardinals have an average of 4.2 runs scored in their last 5 games, while the Rockies have an average of 4.3. This alone suggests a combined run total that surpasses the line of 5. Furthermore, the Cardinals have a strong record against the Rockies, winning their last 5 encounters, indicating their ability to score well against this team. Despite the Cardinals' recent dip in form at home, they've still managed to score an average of 3.6 runs on home turf. The Rockies, on the other hand, have been conceding an average of 4.8 runs in their recent away games. These stats imply a high likelihood of a total run count exceeding 5.
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