Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) Under 2.5 Doubles (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 2.5 bet on Ryan Mountcastle in the Batter Doubles market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Mountcastle's overall average for doubles is a mere 0.2, and it drops to zero when considering away games and games against the Giants. His overall hits average is 0.4 and only slightly better in away games at 0.6. Despite a commendable overall hit streak, his doubles performance doesn't match up. The statistical trend indicates that Mountcastle is not hitting many doubles, especially in away games and against this specific opponent. Therefore, betting on him to hit under 2.5 doubles is a data-supported decision.
Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) Under 1.5 Walks (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 1.5 bet for Jung Hoo Lee in the Batter Walks market is a statistically strong choice given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Lee's overall average for walks (BB) is at 0.4 and at home, this average decreases to 0.2, both well under the line of 1.5. This suggests that Lee is less likely to walk, especially when playing at home. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home (11 and 9 games respectively), indicate that Lee is more likely to hit than to walk. His Plate Appearance (PA) average of 4.4, both overall and at home, further supports this. These statistics imply that Lee's tendency is to hit rather than walk, making the under 1.5 walks bet a solid choice.
Matt Chapman (SFG) Under 1.5 Singles (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Matt Chapman for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is driven by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Chapman has averaged just 0.2 singles at home, well under the line of 1.5. His overall batting average at home is also low at 0.2 hits per game. Furthermore, against the Orioles, his average for singles is only 0.6. Despite his current hit streaks, these are not specified as singles and could include doubles, triples, or home runs, which do not count towards this bet. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet reflects Chapman's recent low singles production, particularly at home and against this specific opponent.
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