Ricky Pearsall (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the provided data, a bet on Ricky Pearsall to score a touchdown at any time during the game against the Seattle Seahawks appears to be a risky proposition. Pearsall's recent performance statistics clearly show a lack of touchdowns. Over the last 10 games, Pearsall has only scored once, with no touchdowns in the last 5 games. The player's hit rate at home and against the Seahawks specifically is also poor, with no touchdowns in recent games. His overall hit rate is 3 out of 19, and even worse at home (1 out of 11) and against the Seahawks (0 out of 1). Furthermore, Pearsall is currently on a zero-hit streak overall, at home, and against the Seahawks. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Pearsall to score a touchdown seems unfavourable.
Jauan Jennings (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jauan Jennings' statistical performance does not support a strong case for betting in favor of him in the 'player_anytime_td' market. His overall hit rate stands at 5/62, indicating a low probability of Jennings scoring a touchdown anytime during a game, based on historical data. His hit rates in recent games (0/5 in last 5 overall and 0/3 in last 3 home games) further suggest a slump in his performance. Even when considering his performance against the Seattle Seahawks, his hit rates are low (1/6 overall and 1/3 at home). His performance shows no current streak either overall or at home, further dampening the odds. The model edge of 0.144 suggests a nominal advantage, but considering Jennings' past performance and current form, the risk seems substantial. Betting on Jennings to score a touchdown in this game would be a high-risk bet.
George Kittle (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
While George Kittle's overall and home hit rates are not promising, there is a strong rationale for betting on him to score a touchdown anytime in the game against the Seattle Seahawks. Kittle's hit rate against Seattle, both overall and at home, is significantly better than his general performance. He has scored a touchdown in 3 out of 4 games against Seahawks, and has a 100% hit rate when playing against Seahawks at home. His current hit streak against the Seahawks is also 2, further supporting the case. Therefore, although Kittle's general performance may not be impressive, his track record against the Seahawks specifically indicates a higher probability of scoring. The statistical model also gives an edge of 10.19% for this outcome, reinforcing the rationale for the bet.
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