Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Picks (Tyler Allgeier Impact) : Full Breakdown

This bet on Drake London to score a touchdown at any time during the Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints game seems risky based on recent performances and trends. London has a current hit streak of zero in all categories, meaning he's not scored a touchdown in his last few matches, either overall, at home, against the Saints, or against the Saints at home. Over his last 20 games, London's hit rate is a mere 15% overall and 30% at home. His performance against the Saints is even worse with a hit rate of 0% both overall and at home. His overall hit rate is approximately 23%, which is not very encouraging either. The model's edge of 9.37% indicates a small statistical advantage. However, considering London's poor recent performance and hit rates, this bet seems quite speculative. It would be prudent to consider these factors before wagering.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints : NA Moneyline (+145)

Based on the provided data, the bet on the New Orleans Saints in the head-to-head (h2h) market is justified by their superior overall performance in the last five games compared to the home team. The Saints have a positive point difference of 6.8, compared to the home team's negative difference of -4. This suggests that the Saints have been outscoring their opponents more consistently. Furthermore, the Saints have an impressive EPA (Expected Points Added) difference of 8.27, indicating their ability to make plays that improve their chances of scoring. In contrast, the home team has a negative EPA difference, suggesting they struggle in this area. The Saints also have a better overall record in their last five games (4-1) compared to the home team (3-2), which further supports the bet on them. Despite the home team's slight edge in explosive rate, the Saints' stronger defensive performance (allowing only 282.2 yards per game compared to

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints : NA Moneyline (+142)

The bet favors the New Orleans Saints based on their stronger performance in the last five games compared to the home team. The Saints have an overall 4-1 record compared to the home team's 3-2. Specifically, the Saints have had a positive point differential (+6.8) and a higher average score (24.8) than the home team. Also, they have significantly better EPA (Expected Points Added) performance. The Saints' overall EPA difference is positive (+8.27), indicating they've been more efficient on both offense and defense. Conversely, the home team's overall EPA difference is negative (-4.96), suggesting less efficiency. The Saints also have fewer total yards against (282.2) compared to the home team (331.4), indicating a stronger defense. The model edge of 0.0607 further strengthens the betting rationale towards the Saints. This data-driven assessment suggests the Saints are the better team to bet on in this matchup.

Drake London (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125)

The data does not support a bet on Drake London to score a touchdown anytime in the Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints game. London has a poor recent performance, with no touchdowns scored in his last 5, 10, and 20 overall games, home games, and games against the Saints. He also has a hit rate of 0 in his current streak both in overall games, home games, and games against the Saints. Even his overall hit rate is not promising, only scoring a touchdown in 14 of 61 games. His performance at home is slightly better with a touchdown in 7 of 30 games, but still not convincing. Finally, the model edge of 0.057 is quite low, indicating that the model sees little advantage in this bet. Therefore, based on statistical reasoning, it is not recommended to bet on Drake London to score a touchdown in this game.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints : NA +3 Point Spread (-102)

The bet on the New Orleans Saints with a spread of 3 points is supported by their recent performance and statistical indicators. In their last five games, the Saints have a positive point differential of 6.8, outscoring their opponents 24.8 to 18. This suggests they have been more efficient in scoring and defending compared to their opponents. Furthermore, the Saints have a strong Estimated Points Added (EPA) differential of 8.27, indicating their plays contribute more to their scoring than their opponents. They also have an impressive record in their recent games, winning 4 out of their last 5 games. They've also been able to generate more total yards (345.6) than their opponents (282.2), indicating a strong offensive game. Although the model edge is small (0.0109), these factors combined suggest a reasonable probability for the Saints to cover the spread.