Real Madrid vs Valencia: Valencia +5.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Valencia 5.5' in the Handicap (Alternate) market is based on comparative performance data. Real Madrid's average score over the last five games is 2, while Valencia's is 1.4, suggesting a close match. Additionally, Valencia's average expected goals (xG) is only slightly lower than Real Madrid's (1.22 vs 1.72). Moreover, Valencia's away record shows they have managed to keep the score difference within the 5.5 line, with an average opponent score of 1.6. Despite Real Madrid's superior home record, their average opponent score is 1.2, indicating that they do concede goals. Considering Valencia's resilience in away games and Real Madrid's occasional defensive lapse, the 5.5 handicap for Valencia is a good choice.
Real Madrid vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+700)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The draw bet for the Real Madrid vs Valencia game is a solid choice based on the statistical performance of both teams. Real Madrid, despite a strong home record, has had a draw and a loss in their last five games against Valencia. Valencia, on the other hand, has managed a draw and a win in their last five encounters with Real Madrid. Furthermore, the average goals scored by both teams are quite close (Real Madrid's 2 vs Valencia's 1.4), indicating closely contested matches. Valencia's recent away record also shows resilience with a draw and two wins, hinting at their ability to hold Real Madrid to a draw. Additionally, their Expected Goals (xG) statistics are fairly close (Real Madrid's 1.72 vs Valencia's 1.22), suggesting a balanced attacking threat from both sides. This combination of factors makes a draw a plausible outcome.
Real Madrid vs Valencia: Draw Moneyline (+700)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The draw bet for the Real Madrid vs Valencia game is based on a careful analysis of the teams' recent performance data. Despite Real Madrid's strong home record, their average goals scored per game (2) is closely matched by Valencia's average goals conceded (1.6). Similarly, Real Madrid's expected goals (xG) average (1.72) is not significantly higher than Valencia's (1.22), suggesting a balanced offensive capability. Furthermore, the two teams have a history of closely contested matches, with 3 of their last 5 encounters resulting in a draw. Valencia's recent away record also supports the possibility of a draw, with the team managing to secure a draw in 1 of their last 5 away games. These factors indicate a high likelihood of a closely contested match, making a draw a statistically reasonable outcome.
 
                
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