Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kevin Gausman to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound. Gausman's recent performance data shows a consistent ability to surpass this mark. His last five overall games show an average of 5.2 strikeouts, more than double the bet line. When playing away, his strikeout average remains high at 5.4. Furthermore, when considering Gausman's performance against the Phillies, his strikeout average spikes to 7. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, add to the reliability of this bet. Gausman has been consistently performing at a level well above the bet line, demonstrating a high probability of success. Therefore, based on Gausman's consistent and above-average strikeout rates, the bet for over 2.5 strikeouts is a strong choice.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryson Stott for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by his recent performance data. Stott's last five games show an average of only 0.4 stolen bases, suggesting he's less likely to steal a base in the upcoming game. This is further supported by his performance against the Blue Jays, where his stolen base average drops to 0.2. Even at home games, his stolen base average remains at 0.4, below the line of 0.5. Additionally, Stott's overall and home hit streaks do not necessarily correlate with an increased likelihood of stolen bases. Lastly, the absence of caught stealing instances in his recent games indicates he's not making frequent attempts to steal bases. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Stott to have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game against the Blue Jays.

Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brandon Marsh for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Marsh has not stolen any bases, whether playing at home or against the Toronto Blue Jays. His average stolen base rate is 0, both overall and specifically at home. This suggests that Marsh is not a frequent base stealer, making the Under 0.5 bet a safer choice. Furthermore, his current hit streak, while impressive, does not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, despite his strong hitting performance, the data indicates that Marsh's likelihood of stealing a base in the upcoming game is low, supporting the Under 0.5 bet.

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