Zack Wheeler (PHI) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Zack Wheeler has been consistently performing well in terms of strikeouts, particularly at home games. His last five overall average strikeouts (SO) is 8.2, significantly higher than the line of 3.5. This trend continues at home where his last five home SO average is 9. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he stays in the game long enough to achieve this, with an overall average of 6.2 and a home average of 6.6. Even when facing the Mets, his SO average is 6.6, well above the line. Although his current home hit streak is at 0, his overall hit streak is at 1, indicating a recent uptick in performance. Therefore, based on Wheeler's consistent ability to achieve high strikeouts, the bet of over 3.5 strikeouts is a solid choice.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing under 0.5 on Francisco Lindor in the Batter Stolen Bases market is grounded in his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Lindor has not recorded any stolen bases overall, away, or against the Philadelphia Phillies. Furthermore, there were no instances of him being caught stealing, indicating a lack of attempts. Despite his current hit streak, his recent history does not demonstrate a propensity for stealing bases. Therefore, the data suggests that it is highly unlikely Lindor will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Phillies. Thus, betting on under 0.5 stolen bases for Francisco Lindor is statistically justified.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryson Stott for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance. Stott's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall, and 0.4 when playing at home. This suggests that he is less likely to steal a base in this game. Furthermore, his hit streak at home is strong at 9 games, indicating that he is more likely to focus on hitting rather than stealing bases. His performance against the Mets also supports this bet, with an average of 0.4 stolen bases in his last five games against this team. Lastly, there have been no instances of him being caught stealing in the last five games, which might indicate a cautious approach to base stealing. All these factors make the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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