Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : Under 248.5 Total Points (-1667)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The 'Under 248.5' bet for the Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks game is backed by the teams' scoring averages. The Magic's last five home games resulted in an average score of 113 points, while the Knicks averaged 119.8 in their last five away games. Thus, the combined average points scored is 232.8. Even if we consider the last five overall matches, the combined average only goes up to 231.2. Both these averages are considerably below the bet's threshold of 248.5 points. Additionally, the model prediction is 216, which is notably lower than the betting point. The implied probability is high at 94.3%, supporting the bet's likelihood. In summary, given the teams' scoring tendencies and model prediction, the total points are likely to fall under 248.5, making it a favorable bet.
Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : Orlando Magic Under 119.5 Team Total Points (-476)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Orlando Magic Under 119.5' is a prudent choice considering their recent performance data. Looking at the Magic's last five games overall, their average team score is 105.8, significantly lower than the outcome point of 119.5. Even accounting for home advantage, their average score only slightly increases to 113. Their scoring is not trending upwards either, with a recent overall home record of 1-4. The model prediction also supports this, projecting Orlando to score around 115 points, still short of the 119.5 mark. These figures suggest that Orlando Magic is unlikely to exceed 119.5 points, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.
Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : New York Knicks win (-200)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the New York Knicks is a favorable choice due to their superior recent performance compared to the Orlando Magic. The Knicks have a better away record in the last five games (3-2) compared to the Magic's home record (1-4). The Knicks also have a higher team score in both overall and away games, with 125.4 and 119.8 points respectively, outscoring the Magic significantly. Furthermore, the Knicks have a better recent head-to-head record against the Magic, winning 2 out of the last 3 encounters. Even though the model predicts a win for the Magic, the Knicks' recent form and head-to-head record suggest a stronger performance, making the bet a viable choice.
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